[
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-callahan-mankin-2025-bibliographic-crossref-script",
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    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41586-025-08751-3 resolves to a 2025 paper by Callahan & Mankin in Nature titled \"Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability",
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        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability\""
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        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: callahan, mankin"
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        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2025, 2025, 2025, 2025"
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      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-berrang-ford-2021-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-berrang-ford-2021",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y resolves to a 2021 paper by Berrang-Ford et al. in Nature Climate Change titled \"A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01170-y",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:43.589Z",
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    "checks": [
      {
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        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: berrang ford, siders, lesnikowski, fischer, callaghan, haddaway"
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        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2021, 2021, 2021, 2021"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature Climate Change\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-vicedo-cabrera-2021-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-vicedo-cabrera-2021",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x resolves to a 2021 paper by Vicedo-Cabrera et al. in Nature Climate Change titled \"The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01058-x",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:44.120Z",
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    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change\""
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      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: vicedo cabrera, scovronick, sera, roye, schneider, tobias"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2021, 2021, 2021, 2021"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature Climate Change\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-stechemesser-2024-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-stechemesser-2024",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1126/science.adl6547 resolves to a 2024 paper by Stechemesser et al. in Science titled \"Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1126%2Fscience.adl6547",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:45.170Z",
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    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades\""
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        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: stechemesser, koch, mark, dilger, klo sel, menicacci"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2024, 2024, 2024"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Science\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-forster-2025-bibliographic-crossref-script",
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    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.5194/essd-17-2641-2025 resolves to a 2025 paper by Forster et al. in Earth System Science Data titled \"Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.5194%2Fessd-17-2641-2025",
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    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence\""
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      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: forster, smith, walsh, lamb, lamboll, cassou"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2025, 2025, 2025"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Earth System Science Data\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-schleussner-2024-bibliographic-crossref-script",
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    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9 resolves to a 2024 paper by Schleussner et al. in Nature titled \"Overconfidence in climate overshoot\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Overconfidence in climate overshoot",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41586-024-08020-9",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:46.243Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "773961a754a8dbdd3061e6e20c9c56588ec994e2cb5b2b138ff42bdecae71754",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Overconfidence in climate overshoot\""
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      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: schleussner, ganti, lejeune, zhu, pfleiderer, pru tz"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2024, 2024, 2024, 2024"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-pai-2021-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-pai-2021",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.06.005 resolves to a 2021 paper by Pai et al. in One Earth titled \"Meeting well-below 2°C target would increase energy sector jobs globally\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Meeting well-below 2°C target would increase energy sector jobs globally",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1016%2Fj.oneear.2021.06.005",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:46.773Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "ae290aeb30f646b5febbfd59545ad7d096e6e08d4a4ff821fca8bd657c411906",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Meeting well-below 2°C target would increase energy sector jobs globally\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: pai, emmerling, drouet, zerriffi, jewell"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2021, 2021, 2021"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"One Earth\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-welsby-2021-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-welsby-2021",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41586-021-03821-8 resolves to a 2021 paper by Welsby et al. in Nature titled \"Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41586-021-03821-8",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:48.362Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "3b242b7a6c0b87a3e7f28df34665519c9515c90f79b430d148042c858ffd505d",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world\""
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      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: welsby, price, pye, ekins"
      },
      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2021, 2021, 2021, 2021"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "updated-by: correction"
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      {
        "name": "notices",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Crossref lists: correction. Not a retraction."
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-trout-2022-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-trout-2022",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6228 resolves to a 2022 paper by Trout et al. in Environmental Research Letters titled \"Existing fossil fuel extraction would warm the world beyond 1.5 °C\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Existing fossil fuel extraction would warm the world beyond 1.5 °C",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fac6228",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:48.866Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "22457d04f5c54eee12c697ffae6dd1c03d41e441b3c287a291a853313d7f853a",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Existing fossil fuel extraction would warm the world beyond 1.5 °C\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: trout, muttitt, lafleur, van de graaf, mendelevitch, mei"
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        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2022, 2022, 2022, 2022"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Environmental Research Letters\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-green-2024-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-green-2024",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1126/science.adn6533 resolves to a 2024 paper by Green et al. in Science (Policy Forum) titled \"No new fossil fuel projects: The norm we need\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "No new fossil fuel projects: The norm we need",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1126%2Fscience.adn6533",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:49.394Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "be81713e6016579264a8d31abc2b140b7b6aa5eb846be31fb69be36f36158243",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"No new fossil fuel projects: The norm we need\""
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      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: green, bois von kursk, muttitt, pye"
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        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2024, 2024, 2024"
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      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Science\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "updated-by: correction"
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        "name": "notices",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Crossref lists: correction. Not a retraction."
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-way-2022-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-way-2022",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1016/j.joule.2022.08.009 resolves to a 2022 paper by Way et al. in Joule titled \"Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1016%2Fj.joule.2022.08.009",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:49.921Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "16177f6440570662698f6263384a6cdeac15cb0c75d78462855cb1df941b3eb1",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: way, ives, mealy, farmer"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2022, 2022, 2022"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Joule\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-nijsse-2023-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-nijsse-2023",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41467-023-41971-7 resolves to a 2023 paper by Nijsse et al. in Nature Communications titled \"The momentum of the solar energy transition\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "The momentum of the solar energy transition",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41467-023-41971-7",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:50.446Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "f0fde81eb667da847a5e57e69c2b3b2e85d781fb249d07c601118521e984cf4e",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"The momentum of the solar energy transition\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: nijsse, mercure, ameli, larosa, kothari, rickman"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2023, 2023, 2023"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature Communications\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
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  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-luderer-2021-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-luderer-2021",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1038/s41560-021-00937-z resolves to a 2021 paper by Luderer et al. in Nature Energy titled \"Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41560-021-00937-z",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:50.964Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2402768b82babbff104b46b46706848bf9cdf88484fae5cd4cfdff1a96bfcf18",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: luderer, madeddu, merfort, ueckerdt, pehl, pietzcker"
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      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2021, 2021, 2021"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Nature Energy\""
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      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "updated-by: correction"
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        "name": "notices",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Crossref lists: correction. Not a retraction."
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-berrang-ford-2021-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-berrang-ford-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: A review of 1,682 articles found that the overall extent of adaptation to climate change is low, and most efforts are local and small-step rather than transformative. Evidence that these efforts are reducing risks remains limited. Expert: A systematic global stocktake screened 48,316 documents and coded 1,682 empirical articles: adaptation is low in extent, largely local and incremental rather than transformative, and evidence that responses reduce observed or projected risk remains limited.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Coding and synthesizing this literature highlights that the overall extent of adaptation across global regions and sectors is low.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01170-y",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:44.757Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "b3601a70b60c41039f8f0467bab95d490af99862029acf7af3d6dfebc9c685d5",
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    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
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        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
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  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-vicedo-cabrera-2021-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-vicedo-cabrera-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: About one in three heat deaths in the places studied can be blamed on human-caused warming. Expert: 732 locations, 43 countries, 1991–2018: 37% of warm-season heat deaths attributable.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01058-x",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:45.297Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "e6973e52bda0e7450d4829b4de0ca7f25b88c744952a1eb756f571244253c30c",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "One in three is a loose rounding of 37%."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-stechemesser-2024-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-stechemesser-2024",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Researchers looked back at 1500 climate policies across 41 countries and found 63 that led to large cuts in emissions. They say price-based policies play an important role in well-designed policy mixes. Expert: Ex post evaluation of 1500 policies (1998 to 2022, 41 countries) using a machine learning-based extension of difference-in-differences identified 63 successful interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 billion and 1.8 billion metric tonnes CO2.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "We identified 63 successful policy interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 billion and 1.8 billion metric tonnes CO 2 .",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1126%2Fscience.adl6547",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:45.645Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "f0c1910456bd0305c4c6d359cb5a8662c8d232165032e0814b7b9a8889610ca3",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-forster-2025-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-forster-2025",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Human-caused warming is estimated at 1.36 °C in 2024, and it is rising at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record. Expert: Human-induced warming is increasing at 0.27 [0.2-0.4] °C per decade over 2015-2024, driven by greenhouse gas emissions at an all-time high of 53.6±5.2 Gt CO2e yr-1 (2014-2023) and reduced aerosol cooling; the 2024 observed best estimate is 1.52 °C versus 1.36 °C human-caused.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Human-induced warming has been increasing at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record, reaching 0.27 [0.2–0.4] °C per decade over 2015–2024.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.5194%2Fessd-17-2641-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:45.999Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0876ee54647a738cf07b170d7fc5d63c8bef50254d45e3d616b84fe038f143f5",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-schleussner-2024-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-schleussner-2024",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Temporarily passing a warming limit and then cooling back down is not something we can count on, because strong feedbacks in the Earth system could undercut the cooling. Only rapid near-term emission cuts are effective in reducing climate risks. Expert: Declining global temperatures after overshoot can limit long-term risks (including sea-level rise and cryosphere changes) compared with mere stabilization, but reversal could be undercut by strong Earth-system feedbacks; the authors identify a geophysical need for a preventive carbon dioxide removal capacity of several hundred gigatonnes, which technical, economic and sustainability considerations may limit.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Therefore, we cannot be confident that temperature decline after overshoot is achievable within the timescales expected today.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41586-024-08020-9",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:46.343Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "9e3917f2fa425dc0145c389317a64de48ab830fe1f1b890b6b9c1093b09a97ba",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-pai-2021-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-pai-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Meeting the well-below 2°C goal would increase energy jobs worldwide, from 18 million today to 26 million by 2050, compared with 21 million under current policies. Fossil fuel extraction jobs would decline, but gains in solar and wind jobs would make up for the losses. Expert: Combining job intensities across 11 energy technologies and five job categories in 50 countries with an integrated assessment model under three shared socioeconomic pathways, direct energy jobs reach 26 million by 2050 under a WB2C scenario versus 21 million under current policy; solar and wind gains, particularly in manufacturing (7.7 million in 2050), compensate for fossil extraction losses.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "We find that, by 2050, energy sector jobs would grow from today's 18 million to 26 million under a WB2C scenario compared with 21 million under the current policy scenario.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1016%2Fj.oneear.2021.06.005",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:46.846Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "bc741fdbbe4fbfab53c75ef499b3c60d90371d137211fbb6e8038ae93ee65707",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-trout-2022-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-trout-2022",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Existing and under-construction oil and gas fields and coal mines would commit 936 Gt CO2. Staying within a 1.5 °C carbon budget (50% probability) means leaving almost 40% of developed reserves of fossil fuels unextracted. Expert: Central estimate of committed CO2 emissions from fossil fuel-producing infrastructure (existing and under-construction oil and gas fields and coal mines) is 936 Gt CO2: 47% coal, 35% oil, 18% gas. Developed reserves substantially exceed the 1.5 °C carbon budget (50% probability), implying almost 40% must be left unextracted; robust to a Monte Carlo analysis.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "comprising 47% from coal, 35% from oil and 18% from gas.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fac6228",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:47:28.275Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "b0d282f316e3509af4ec4d24f9f221b1114ad8695b48207f595e2134288a242d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All figures match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-green-2024-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-green-2024",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: The authors argue that a social-moral norm against new fossil fuel projects has strong potential to help achieve global climate goals. Expert: The abstract states only that a social-moral norm against new fossil fuel projects has strong potential to contribute to achieving global climate goals.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "A social-moral norm against new fossil fuel projects has strong potential to contribute to achieving global climate goals",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1126%2Fscience.adn6533",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:52.836Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "4534e0a3d91eec51bfa5232f9a8667e2693c1427148fd6635a23d318c13563de",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Matches the one-sentence abstract."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-way-2022-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-way-2022",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Compared with continuing with a fossil fuel-based system, a rapid green energy transition will likely save many trillions of dollars, even before counting climate damages or other benefits of climate policy. Expert: Probabilistic cost forecasts for solar, wind, batteries and electrolyzers, using methods statistically validated by backtesting on more than 50 technologies, indicate that a rapid green energy transition will likely yield net savings of many trillions of dollars.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "a rapid green energy transition will likely result in overall net savings of many trillions of dollars",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1016%2Fj.joule.2022.08.009",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:27:26.211Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "60fa800b1db68ae28fd438d870080bc37f4238b3dfdf49f5beb37b4d8fb07bbc",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Both claims match abstract, including backtesting on more than 50 technologies."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-nijsse-2023-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-nijsse-2023",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Solar power may already have passed a point of no return, after which it gradually comes to dominate global electricity markets without any further climate policies. Open questions remain over grid stability, finance in underdeveloped economies, supply chains and political resistance. Expert: Data-driven conditional technology and economic forecasting suggests a global irreversible solar tipping point may have passed, with solar gradually dominating electricity markets without further climate policies; uncertainties include grid stability, finance, supply chain capacity and political resistance, and policies resolving these barriers may be more effective than price instruments.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "a global irreversible solar tipping point may have passed where solar energy gradually comes to dominate global electricity markets, without any further climate policies",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41467-023-41971-7",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:53.697Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "9c4c8f4b829e22e60bbd8a53836eb8bc880ce2a2dc1c0d885969f91b243624a1",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-luderer-2021-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-luderer-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Further progress in solar and wind technology together with carbon pricing could make electricity cheaper than carbon-based fuels. In a 1.5 °C scenario with limited bioenergy and carbon dioxide removal, electricity could supply 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times current levels. Expert: Further solar and wind progress plus carbon pricing could make electricity cheaper than carbon-based fuels; in a 1.5 °C scenario with limited bioenergy and carbon dioxide removal, electricity could account for 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times current levels and higher than previous IPCC scenarios.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "electricity could account for 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times the current levels and substantially higher than in previous climate policy scenarios assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1038%2Fs41560-021-00937-z",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:54.190Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "c3ef7dc3ec709767419724506d9f4a2f3d217bcea83b76ab87b96f341e8b1716",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements match."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-berrang-ford-2021-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-berrang-ford-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: A review of 1,682 articles found that the overall extent of adaptation to climate change is low, and most efforts are local and small-step rather than transformative. Evidence that these efforts are reducing risks remains limited. Expert: A systematic global stocktake screened 48,316 documents and coded 1,682 empirical articles: adaptation is low in extent, largely local and incremental rather than transformative, and evidence that responses reduce observed or projected risk remains limited.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Coding and synthesizing this literature highlights that the overall extent of adaptation across global regions and sectors is low.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01170-y",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:44.757Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "b3601a70b60c41039f8f0467bab95d490af99862029acf7af3d6dfebc9c685d5",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All figures and findings (48,316 screened, 1,682 articles, low/local/incremental, limited risk-reduction evidence) are stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-vicedo-cabrera-2021-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-vicedo-cabrera-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: About one in three heat deaths in the places studied can be blamed on human-caused warming. Expert: 732 locations, 43 countries, 1991–2018: 37% of warm-season heat deaths attributable.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01058-x",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:45.297Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "e6973e52bda0e7450d4829b4de0ca7f25b88c744952a1eb756f571244253c30c",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "37% of warm-season heat deaths, 732 locations, 43 countries, 1991-2018 all stated; 'about one in three' is a fair rounding of 37%."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-stechemesser-2024-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-stechemesser-2024",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Researchers looked back at 1500 climate policies across 41 countries and found 63 that led to large cuts in emissions. They say price-based policies play an important role in well-designed policy mixes. Expert: Ex post evaluation of 1500 policies (1998 to 2022, 41 countries) using a machine learning-based extension of difference-in-differences identified 63 successful interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 billion and 1.8 billion metric tonnes CO2.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "We identified 63 successful policy interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 billion and 1.8 billion metric tonnes CO 2 .",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1126%2Fscience.adl6547",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:45.645Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "f0c1910456bd0305c4c6d359cb5a8662c8d232165032e0814b7b9a8889610ca3",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Policy counts, period, countries, method, results and price-based role all stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-forster-2025-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-forster-2025",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Human-caused warming is estimated at 1.36 °C in 2024, and it is rising at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record. Expert: Human-induced warming is increasing at 0.27 [0.2-0.4] °C per decade over 2015-2024, driven by greenhouse gas emissions at an all-time high of 53.6±5.2 Gt CO2e yr-1 (2014-2023) and reduced aerosol cooling; the 2024 observed best estimate is 1.52 °C versus 1.36 °C human-caused.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Human-induced warming has been increasing at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record, reaching 0.27 [0.2–0.4] °C per decade over 2015–2024.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.5194%2Fessd-17-2641-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:45.999Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0876ee54647a738cf07b170d7fc5d63c8bef50254d45e3d616b84fe038f143f5",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Rate, emissions figure, aerosol cause and 1.52 vs 1.36 °C for 2024 all stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-schleussner-2024-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-schleussner-2024",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Temporarily passing a warming limit and then cooling back down is not something we can count on, because strong feedbacks in the Earth system could undercut the cooling. Only rapid near-term emission cuts are effective in reducing climate risks. Expert: Declining global temperatures after overshoot can limit long-term risks (including sea-level rise and cryosphere changes) compared with mere stabilization, but reversal could be undercut by strong Earth-system feedbacks; the authors identify a geophysical need for a preventive carbon dioxide removal capacity of several hundred gigatonnes, which technical, economic and sustainability considerations may limit.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Only rapid near-term emission reductions are effective in reducing climate risks.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41586-024-08020-9",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:46.343Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "9e3917f2fa425dc0145c389317a64de48ab830fe1f1b890b6b9c1093b09a97ba",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Feedback undercutting, lack of confidence in post-overshoot decline, risk benefits, several hundred Gt CDR need and its limits are all stated (abstract also cites CDR limits as part of the reasoning)."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-pai-2021-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-pai-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Meeting the well-below 2°C goal would increase energy jobs worldwide, from 18 million today to 26 million by 2050, compared with 21 million under current policies. Fossil fuel extraction jobs would decline, but gains in solar and wind jobs would make up for the losses. Expert: Combining job intensities across 11 energy technologies and five job categories in 50 countries with an integrated assessment model under three shared socioeconomic pathways, direct energy jobs reach 26 million by 2050 under a WB2C scenario versus 21 million under current policy; solar and wind gains, particularly in manufacturing (7.7 million in 2050), compensate for fossil extraction losses.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "We find that, by 2050, energy sector jobs would grow from today's 18 million to 26 million under a WB2C scenario compared with 21 million under the current policy scenario.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1016%2Fj.oneear.2021.06.005",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:46.846Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "bc741fdbbe4fbfab53c75ef499b3c60d90371d137211fbb6e8038ae93ee65707",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All job figures, methods and solar/wind compensation statements are stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-trout-2022-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-trout-2022",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Existing and under-construction oil and gas fields and coal mines would commit 936 Gt CO2. Staying within a 1.5 °C carbon budget (50% probability) means leaving almost 40% of developed reserves of fossil fuels unextracted. Expert: Central estimate of committed CO2 emissions from fossil fuel-producing infrastructure (existing and under-construction oil and gas fields and coal mines) is 936 Gt CO2: 47% coal, 35% oil, 18% gas. Developed reserves substantially exceed the 1.5 °C carbon budget (50% probability), implying almost 40% must be left unextracted; robust to a Monte Carlo analysis.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Our central estimate of committed emissions is 936 Gt CO 2 , comprising 47% from coal, 35% from oil and 18% from gas.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1088%2F1748-9326%2Fac6228",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:47:28.275Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "b0d282f316e3509af4ec4d24f9f221b1114ad8695b48207f595e2134288a242d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All figures match. Minor: plain drops 'central estimate'. In the expert text, Monte Carlo robustness applies to 'developed reserves exceed the 1.5 °C budget', which is how the claim reads."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-green-2024-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-green-2024",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: The authors argue that a social-moral norm against new fossil fuel projects has strong potential to help achieve global climate goals. Expert: The abstract states only that a social-moral norm against new fossil fuel projects has strong potential to contribute to achieving global climate goals.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "A social-moral norm against new fossil fuel projects has strong potential to contribute to achieving global climate goals",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1126%2Fscience.adn6533",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:52.836Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "4534e0a3d91eec51bfa5232f9a8667e2693c1427148fd6635a23d318c13563de",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Both claims restate the one-sentence abstract."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-way-2022-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-way-2022",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Compared with continuing with a fossil fuel-based system, a rapid green energy transition will likely save many trillions of dollars, even before counting climate damages or other benefits of climate policy. Expert: Probabilistic cost forecasts for solar, wind, batteries and electrolyzers, using methods statistically validated by backtesting on more than 50 technologies, indicate that a rapid green energy transition will likely yield net savings of many trillions of dollars.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Compared to continuing with a fossil fuel-based system, a rapid green energy transition will likely result in overall net savings of many trillions of dollars—even without accounting for climate damages or co-benefits of climate policy.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1016%2Fj.joule.2022.08.009",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:27:26.211Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "60fa800b1db68ae28fd438d870080bc37f4238b3dfdf49f5beb37b4d8fb07bbc",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Savings claim, technologies covered and backtesting on more than 50 technologies all stated in abstract."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-nijsse-2023-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-nijsse-2023",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Solar power may already have passed a point of no return, after which it gradually comes to dominate global electricity markets without any further climate policies. Open questions remain over grid stability, finance in underdeveloped economies, supply chains and political resistance. Expert: Data-driven conditional technology and economic forecasting suggests a global irreversible solar tipping point may have passed, with solar gradually dominating electricity markets without further climate policies; uncertainties include grid stability, finance, supply chain capacity and political resistance, and policies resolving these barriers may be more effective than price instruments.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "We find that, due to technological trajectories set in motion by past policy, a global irreversible solar tipping point may have passed where solar energy gradually comes to dominate global electricity markets, without any further climate policies.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1038%2Fs41467-023-41971-7",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:53.697Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "9c4c8f4b829e22e60bbd8a53836eb8bc880ce2a2dc1c0d885969f91b243624a1",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Tipping point, method, uncertainties and policy-vs-price-instruments statements are all stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-luderer-2021-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-luderer-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Further progress in solar and wind technology together with carbon pricing could make electricity cheaper than carbon-based fuels. In a 1.5 °C scenario with limited bioenergy and carbon dioxide removal, electricity could supply 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times current levels. Expert: Further solar and wind progress plus carbon pricing could make electricity cheaper than carbon-based fuels; in a 1.5 °C scenario with limited bioenergy and carbon dioxide removal, electricity could account for 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times current levels and higher than previous IPCC scenarios.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "In a 1.5 °C scenario with limited availability of bioenergy and carbon dioxide removal, electricity could account for 66% of final energy by mid-century, three times the current levels and substantially higher than in previous climate policy scenarios assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1038%2Fs41560-021-00937-z",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:25:54.190Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "c3ef7dc3ec709767419724506d9f4a2f3d217bcea83b76ab87b96f341e8b1716",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Cost claim, 66% figure, threefold and IPCC comparison all stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-welsby-2021-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-welsby-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: For an even chance of 1.5°C, nearly 60% of oil and gas and 90% of coal must stay in the ground by 2050. Expert: By 2050, nearly 60 per cent of oil and fossil methane gas and 90 per cent of coal must remain unextracted for a 50 per cent probability of limiting warming to 1.5 °C, using a global energy systems model.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "By 2050, we find that nearly 60 per cent of oil and fossil methane gas, and 90 per cent of coal must remain unextracted to keep within a 1.5 °C carbon budget.",
    "source_url": "https://api.semanticscholar.org/graph/v1/paper/DOI:10.1038%2Fs41586-021-03821-8?fields=abstract",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:27:24.827Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "1027952e50cda29aa9b629ebabb5e01e4983012ad3e2563d469969d6cfe6bf46",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Both claims match; 'even chance' equals 50 per cent probability."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-welsby-2021-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-welsby-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: For an even chance of 1.5°C, nearly 60% of oil and gas and 90% of coal must stay in the ground by 2050. Expert: By 2050, nearly 60 per cent of oil and fossil methane gas and 90 per cent of coal must remain unextracted for a 50 per cent probability of limiting warming to 1.5 °C, using a global energy systems model.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "By 2050, we find that nearly 60 per cent of oil and fossil methane gas, and 90 per cent of coal must remain unextracted to keep within a 1.5 °C carbon budget.",
    "source_url": "https://api.semanticscholar.org/graph/v1/paper/DOI:10.1038%2Fs41586-021-03821-8?fields=abstract",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:27:24.827Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "1027952e50cda29aa9b629ebabb5e01e4983012ad3e2563d469969d6cfe6bf46",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Percentages, 2050 horizon, 50% probability and global energy systems model all stated in abstract."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-pledges-2100-paris-2015-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-pledges-2100@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept (Paris 2015): \"2.7°C\". Stored value: 2.7, low 2.7, high 2.7. Method note on record: Climate Action Tracker, 2015. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Climate pledges will bring 2.7°C of warming",
    "source_url": "http://web.archive.org/web/20151218034503/http://www.climateactiontracker.org",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:19.712Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "1e3575a234fd9f8d9b64839ff310e8077ee974e9919acc964d9e4f8829c4ea6a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'by 2100' from thermometer caption on page; 'every pledge kept' is an interpretation of 'pledges will bring'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-1-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-1",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Türkiye’s Murat Kurum took over as COP31 President. Australia’s Chris Bowen is running the negotiations.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Türkiye’s Environment Minister Murat Kurum officially took the gavel this morning as the COP31 President … Chris Bowen will oversee negotiations",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Bowen 'will oversee' vs claim 'is running': minor tense paraphrase."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-2-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-2",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Bowen announced plans to develop a presidency-led decision throughout the conference, rather than waiting until its final days.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Mr. Bowen announced plans to develop a presidency-led decision throughout the conference, rather than waiting until its final days.",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Exact."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-3-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-3",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "UN climate chief Simon Stiell: “Progress is nowhere near far enough or fair enough.”",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Progress is nowhere near far enough or fair enough,",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Stiell identified as UN Climate Change chief."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-4-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-4",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Nearly 200 countries have arrived in Antalya for the summit.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Nearly 200 countries have arrived",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text: arrived on Türkiye's Mediterranean coast (Antalya)."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-policies-2100-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-policies-2100@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if policies stay as they are (Belém 2025): \"Up to 2.8°C\". Stored value: 2.8, low 2.8, high 2.8. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, via the PBL summary: implementing only current policies would lead to up to 2.8°C of warming this century. Source gives an upper figure, not a point estimate; plotted at 2.8.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Implementing only current policies would lead to up to 2.8°C of warming",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.674Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0ae97fb0a6b67e7a1bebe8970e7c09d201fad2d9446c4b9b02aa818967c9dd20",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Over this century' stated earlier; hedge 'up to' kept."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-pledges-2100-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-pledges-2100@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept (Belém 2025): \"2.3–2.5°C\". Stored value: 2.4, low 2.3, high 2.5. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, via the PBL summary: 2.3-2.5°C if NDCs are fully implemented. The source gives only the range; the line is plotted at the midpoint 2.4.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "global warming projections over this century, based on full implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), are now 2.3-2.5°C",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.674Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0ae97fb0a6b67e7a1bebe8970e7c09d201fad2d9446c4b9b02aa818967c9dd20",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Midpoint 2.4 not stated; method note says it is the midpoint."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-policies-2100-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-policies-2100@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if policies stay as they are (Antalya 2026): \"Could reach 2.8°C\". Stored value: 2.8, low 2.8, high 2.8. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026, via the PBL summary: if current policies continue, warming could reach 2.8°C within this century and increase thereafter. Source gives a 'could reach' figure; plotted at 2.8.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "if current policies continue, warming could reach 2.8°C within this century",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:49:50.046Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Hedge 'could' kept; 2.8 stated explicitly; 'within this century' ~ by 2100; low/high 2.8 not separately stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-pledges-2100-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-pledges-2100@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept (Antalya 2026): \"2.6°C\". Stored value: 2.6, low 2.6, high 2.6. Method note on record: UNEP, Oct 2026. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "If all NDCs are delivered and similar efforts continue, warming will be limited to 2.6°C",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Century horizon implied by context; claim omits 'similar efforts continue' condition."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-emissions-promised-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-emissions-promised@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Emissions cuts by 2035: promised (Antalya 2026): \"11–15%\". Stored value: 13, low 11, high 15. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026, via the PBL summary: full NDC implementation amounts to 11-15 percent by 2035 relative to 2025 levels. The source gives only the range; 13 is the midpoint, used for sorting only.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "11-15 percent by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Range stated; midpoint 13 not stated but method note says so (sorting only). Relative to 2025."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-emissions-needed-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-emissions-needed@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Emissions cuts by 2035: needed (Antalya 2026): \"45%\". Stored value: 45, low 45, high 45. Method note on record: Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "45 per cent by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Point value; for lowest-possible 1.5C overshoot pathway vs 2025."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-renewables-growth-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-renewables-growth@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Renewables growth against 2015 expectations (Antalya 2026): \"3×\". Stored value: 3, low 3, high 3. Method note on record: Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "renewable electricity capacity has grown three times faster than anticipated",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Since the Paris Agreement' mapped to 2015 expectations."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-solar-buildout-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-solar-buildout@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Solar build-out against 2015 expectations (Antalya 2026): \"7×\". Stored value: 7, low 7, high 7. Method note on record: Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "solar PV build- out increasing seven times faster",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Same since-Paris framing."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-one-point-five-goal-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#one-point-five-goal@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "The 1.5°C goal (Antalya 2026): \"Overshoot can no longer be avoided. Best case peaks at 1.7–1.8°C\". Stored value: null, low null, high null. Method note on record: UNEP, Oct 2026.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "peak warming by around the middle of the century is limited to 1.7-1.8°C",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Overshoot unavoidable' supported by 'set to exceed 1.5°C'; limited overshoot no longer possible."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-emissions-cuts-2035-antalya-2026-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#emissions-cuts-2035@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Emissions cuts by 2035: promised against needed (Antalya 2026): \"Promised 11–15%. Needed 45%\". Stored value: null, low null, high null. Method note on record: UNEP, Oct 2026. Against 2025 emissions.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "11-15 percent by 2035 … 45 per cent by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Both relative to 2025 as method note says."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-measured-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-measured@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Measured global temperature (Belém 2025): \"1.55°C, likely the first calendar year above 1.5°C\". Stored value: 1.55, low 1.55, high 1.55. Method note on record: WMO, 2024 consolidated from six international datasets. WMO says 2024 is likely the first calendar year above 1.5°C relative to 1850-1900.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "global average surface temperature was 1.55 °C … the first calendar year with a global mean temperature of more than 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average",
    "source_url": "https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-year-record-about-155degc-above-pre-industrial-level",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.301Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "bb2da991e34a52b81641472dfbb7c0f35f79c6c7b873fd5e70b05698ba708285",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'likely' hedge retained; relative to 1850-1900."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-pledges-2100-paris-2015-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-pledges-2100@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept (Paris 2015): \"2.7°C\". Stored value: 2.7, low 2.7, high 2.7. Method note on record: Climate Action Tracker, 2015. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "unsupported",
    "quote": null,
    "source_url": "http://web.archive.org/web/20151218034503/http://www.climateactiontracker.org",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:19.712Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "1e3575a234fd9f8d9b64839ff310e8077ee974e9919acc964d9e4f8829c4ea6a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text says 'Climate pledges will bring 2.7°C of warming' but never ties 2.7°C to 2100. The 'by 2100' wording appears only in the generic thermometer caption. Pledges = 158 submitted, covering 94%, not 'every national pledge'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-1-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-1",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Türkiye’s Murat Kurum took over as COP31 President. Australia’s Chris Bowen is running the negotiations.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Türkiye’s Environment Minister Murat Kurum officially took the gavel this morning as the COP31 President, while Australia’s Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen will oversee negotiations",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'running' paraphrases 'oversee'. Text adds it is a co-presidency arrangement."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-2-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-2",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Bowen announced plans to develop a presidency-led decision throughout the conference, rather than waiting until its final days.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Mr. Bowen announced plans to develop a presidency-led decision throughout the conference, rather than waiting until its final days.",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Verbatim."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-3-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-3",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "UN climate chief Simon Stiell: “Progress is nowhere near far enough or fair enough.”",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "“Progress is nowhere near far enough or fair enough,” UN Climate Change chief Simon Stiell",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text says 'UN Climate Change chief'; the claim's 'UN climate chief' is an acceptable paraphrase."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-4-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-4",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Nearly 200 countries have arrived in Antalya for the summit.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Nearly 200 countries have arrived on Türkiye's Mediterranean coast … as nearly 200 countries gather here for the latest UN climate summit",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168763",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.395Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2e4bef0aab81b7b8a4a59280b583a5662d39f55d0e7b7b1f745c9dee74d58808",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Here' is Antalya per the preceding sentences."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-policies-2100-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-policies-2100@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if policies stay as they are (Belém 2025): \"Up to 2.8°C\". Stored value: 2.8, low 2.8, high 2.8. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, via the PBL summary: implementing only current policies would lead to up to 2.8°C of warming this century. Source gives an upper figure, not a point estimate; plotted at 2.8.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "global warming projections over this century … Implementing only current policies would lead to up to 2.8°C of warming",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.674Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0ae97fb0a6b67e7a1bebe8970e7c09d201fad2d9446c4b9b02aa818967c9dd20",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Hedge 'Up to' kept. The stored point value 2.8 is the upper figure, and the method note says so."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-pledges-2100-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-pledges-2100@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept (Belém 2025): \"2.3–2.5°C\". Stored value: 2.4, low 2.3, high 2.5. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, via the PBL summary: 2.3-2.5°C if NDCs are fully implemented. The source gives only the range; the line is plotted at the midpoint 2.4.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "based on full implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), are now 2.3-2.5°C",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.674Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0ae97fb0a6b67e7a1bebe8970e7c09d201fad2d9446c4b9b02aa818967c9dd20",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Midpoint 2.4 is not stated in the source; the method note correctly says it is the plotted midpoint."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-policies-2100-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-policies-2100@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if policies stay as they are (Antalya 2026): \"Could reach 2.8°C\". Stored value: 2.8, low 2.8, high 2.8. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026, via the PBL summary: if current policies continue, warming could reach 2.8°C within this century and increase thereafter. Source gives a 'could reach' figure; plotted at 2.8.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "if current policies continue, warming could reach 2.8°C within this century and increase thereafter",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:49:50.046Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Hedge 'could reach' kept; 'by 2100' = 'within this century'. Stored low/high 2.8 is a single point, not a stated range."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-pledges-2100-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-pledges-2100@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept (Antalya 2026): \"2.6°C\". Stored value: 2.6, low 2.6, high 2.6. Method note on record: UNEP, Oct 2026. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "If all NDCs are delivered and similar efforts continue, warming will be limited to 2.6°C.",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Source scenario also includes 'similar efforts continue'. The 'this century' timeframe comes from the preceding sentence."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-emissions-promised-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-emissions-promised@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Emissions cuts by 2035: promised (Antalya 2026): \"11–15%\". Stored value: 13, low 11, high 15. Method note on record: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026, via the PBL summary: full NDC implementation amounts to 11-15 percent by 2035 relative to 2025 levels. The source gives only the range; 13 is the midpoint, used for sorting only.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "11-15 percent by 2035, relative to 2025 levels",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Midpoint 13 is not stated in the source; the method note says it is a midpoint used for sorting only."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-emissions-needed-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-emissions-needed@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Emissions cuts by 2035: needed (Antalya 2026): \"45%\". Stored value: 45, low 45, high 45. Method note on record: Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "relative to 2025 levels global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions would have to be reduced by 18 per cent by 2030, 45 per cent by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "45% is the cut needed for the 'lowest possible' 1.5°C overshoot pathway, relative to 2025. The method note leaves out both the baseline and the scenario."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-renewables-growth-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-renewables-growth@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Renewables growth against 2015 expectations (Antalya 2026): \"3×\". Stored value: 3, low 3, high 3. Method note on record: Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Since the Paris Agreement, global renewable electricity capacity has grown three times faster than anticipated",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'three times' = 3. The source says renewable electricity capacity, a narrower scope than 'renewables'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-solar-buildout-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-solar-buildout@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Solar build-out against 2015 expectations (Antalya 2026): \"7×\". Stored value: 7, low 7, high 7. Method note on record: Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "with solar PV build- out increasing seven times faster",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'seven times' = 7, against the same 'than anticipated' since Paris baseline."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-one-point-five-goal-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#one-point-five-goal@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "The 1.5°C goal (Antalya 2026): \"Overshoot can no longer be avoided. Best case peaks at 1.7–1.8°C\". Stored value: null, low null, high null. Method note on record: UNEP, Oct 2026.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the target of 1.5 °C with limited overshoot is no longer possible … peak warming by around the middle of the century is limited to 1.7-1.8°C",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Source's best scenario is an overshoot of 1.7 or 1.8 °C by midcentury."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-emissions-cuts-2035-antalya-2026-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#emissions-cuts-2035@antalya-2026",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Emissions cuts by 2035: promised against needed (Antalya 2026): \"Promised 11–15%. Needed 45%\". Stored value: null, low null, high null. Method note on record: UNEP, Oct 2026. Against 2025 emissions.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "45 per cent by 2035 … 11-15 percent by 2035, relative to 2025 levels",
    "source_url": "https://www.pbl.nl/en/publications/unep-emissions-gap-report-2026",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:18.570Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "619e27cc3943fa0267b60ff317e70bbf787554d79a52588e48e85576079bf34d",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Both figures are relative to 2025, matching the method note. 'Needed' is for the lowest-possible overshoot pathway."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-measured-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-measured@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Measured global temperature (Belém 2025): \"1.55°C, likely the first calendar year above 1.5°C\". Stored value: 1.55, low 1.55, high 1.55. Method note on record: WMO, 2024 consolidated from six international datasets. WMO says 2024 is likely the first calendar year above 1.5°C relative to 1850-1900.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "The global average surface temperature was 1.55 °C … We have likely seen the first calendar year with a global mean temperature of more than 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average",
    "source_url": "https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/wmo-confirms-2024-warmest-year-record-about-155degc-above-pre-industrial-level",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:20.301Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "bb2da991e34a52b81641472dfbb7c0f35f79c6c7b873fd5e70b05698ba708285",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Hedge 'likely' kept. Uncertainty ±0.13 °C is not shown. The headline says 'about 1.55°C'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-pauw-2022-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-pauw-2022",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1080/14693062.2022.2114985 resolves to a 2022 paper by Pauw et al. in Climate Policy titled \"Post-2025 climate finance target: how much more and how much better?\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Post-2025 climate finance target: how much more and how much better?",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1080%2F14693062.2022.2114985",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:42.542Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "bf29ff04ca2351d8a2c7e05cf7443bf09fc728ad9a2b664d5c9b42249af2982e",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Post-2025 climate finance target: how much more and how much better?\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: pauw, moslener, zamarioli, amerasinghe, atela, affana"
      },
      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2022, 2022, 2022, 2022"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Climate Policy\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-thomas-2021-bibliographic-crossref-script",
    "record_ref": "research#res-thomas-2021",
    "claim_id": "bibliographic",
    "claim": "DOI 10.1007/s10113-021-01808-9 resolves to a 2021 paper by Thomas et al. in Regional Environmental Change titled \"Global evidence of constraints and limits to human adaptation\", with no retraction or withdrawal notice.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Global evidence of constraints and limits to human adaptation",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01808-9",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:44.645Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "13b31723dc6fbe7a43f1927dcd7fd4467ad55f6f352dee2a8df368f3b9daae49",
    "verifier": "crossref-script",
    "rule_id": "paper-bibliographic-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "title-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Global evidence of constraints and limits to human adaptation\""
      },
      {
        "name": "authors-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref families: thomas, theokritoff, lesnikowski, reckien, jagannathan, cremades"
      },
      {
        "name": "year-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref years: 2021, 2021, 2021, 2021"
      },
      {
        "name": "journal-match",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "Crossref: \"Regional Environmental Change\""
      },
      {
        "name": "no-retraction",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "no update notices in Crossref"
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-pauw-2022-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-pauw-2022",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: A bigger finance target alone may not work. The authors suggest a separate target for grants, which could raise accountability, trust and transparency. Expert: Identifies five priority elements for the post-2025 target (relation to Article 2.1(c), adaptation-mitigation balance, financial instruments, mobilising private finance, 'new and additional' finance) and suggests setting a sub-target for grants.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "we suggest setting a sub-target for grants",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1080%2F14693062.2022.2114985",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:49:58.529Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "b3ec53b3075b50fe6d8edd799c127b512bc15802f4e32720c2a276c55acfe0e7",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Plain and expert claims match abstract."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-callahan-mankin-2025-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-callahan-mankin-2025",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: The authors argue that science can now link economic losses from extreme heat to the emissions of individual fossil fuel companies. Expert: End-to-end attribution links fossil fuel producers' scope 1 and 3 emissions to specific heat-related economic losses. For Chevron, emissions very likely caused between US $791 billion and $3.6 trillion in heat-related losses over the period 1991-2020.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "very likely caused between US $791 billion and $3.6 trillion in heat-related losses over the period 1991-2020",
    "source_url": "https://www.ebi.ac.uk/europepmc/webservices/rest/search?query=DOI:%2210.1038%2Fs41586-025-08751-3%22&resultType=core&format=json",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:50:14.076Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "48f1bd592082761f12fafb773d313348269f3633ef0b954a84bbc5e65acd59c2",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "All statements supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-thomas-2021-finding-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "research#res-thomas-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Money and weak institutions are the most common reasons adaptation stalls. Expert: Financial and governance constraints dominate; evidence on hard limits remains thin.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Finance, governance, institutional, and policy constraints are most prevalent globally.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01808-9",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:57.738Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "07f6a5af0a0f9a44a384c0fa359982bcc1e33f76f422433e5a2d4b2af2c663c5",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Hard-limit thinness inferred from 'limited literature focused on limits'; acceptable paraphrase."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-pauw-2022-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-pauw-2022",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: A bigger finance target alone may not work. The authors suggest a separate target for grants, which could raise accountability, trust and transparency. Expert: Identifies five priority elements for the post-2025 target (relation to Article 2.1(c), adaptation-mitigation balance, financial instruments, mobilising private finance, 'new and additional' finance) and suggests setting a sub-target for grants.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "A sub-target for grants could increase accountability, trust, and transparency, and target the needs of the most vulnerable developing countries.",
    "source_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/doi:10.1080%2F14693062.2022.2114985",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:49:58.529Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "b3ec53b3075b50fe6d8edd799c127b512bc15802f4e32720c2a276c55acfe0e7",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Five priority elements and grants sub-target stated; 'bigger target alone may not work' matches 'may prove ineffective'. 'Separate target' read as paraphrase of 'sub-target'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-callahan-mankin-2025-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-callahan-mankin-2025",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: The authors argue that science can now link economic losses from extreme heat to the emissions of individual fossil fuel companies. Expert: End-to-end attribution links fossil fuel producers' scope 1 and 3 emissions to specific heat-related economic losses. For Chevron, emissions very likely caused between US $791 billion and $3.6 trillion in heat-related losses over the period 1991-2020.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Emissions linked to Chevron, the highest-emitting investor-owned company in our data, for example, very likely caused between US $791 billion and $3.6 trillion in heat-related losses over the period 1991-2020, disproportionately harming the tropical regions least culpable for warming.",
    "source_url": "https://www.ebi.ac.uk/europepmc/webservices/rest/search?query=DOI:%2210.1038%2Fs41586-025-08751-3%22&resultType=core&format=json",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:50:14.076Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "48f1bd592082761f12fafb773d313348269f3633ef0b954a84bbc5e65acd59c2",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "End-to-end attribution, scope 1 and 3 data, Chevron $791bn-$3.6tn 1991-2020 'very likely' all stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-research-res-thomas-2021-finding-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "research#res-thomas-2021",
    "claim_id": "finding",
    "claim": "Plain: Money and weak institutions are the most common reasons adaptation stalls. Expert: Financial and governance constraints dominate; evidence on hard limits remains thin.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Finance, governance, institutional, and policy constraints are most prevalent globally.",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1007%2Fs10113-021-01808-9",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:57.738Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "07f6a5af0a0f9a44a384c0fa359982bcc1e33f76f422433e5a2d4b2af2c663c5",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "paper-finding-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-abstract",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim text appears in the abstract"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Thin evidence on hard limits' follows from 'limited literature focused on limits to adaptation' (hard limits are a subset). Borderline: abstract says limits, not hard limits specifically."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:sonnet-nbc",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "will not send an official delegation",
    "source_url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/cop31-turkey-climate-change-un-summit-cfr-global-warming-rcna608276",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:45.631Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "f496049dd987935914328477cd9b7973a84ffb4c52764bd6c68445ab3fad1645",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Says US will not send official delegation; Congress/business still attend."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:sonnet-abc",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "An official U.S. delegation will not be attending the conference",
    "source_url": "https://abcnews.com/US/cop31-international-climate-conference-begins-monday/story?id=137885179",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:45.792Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "9abc5f78082456f698d66a4147006159003f2e9a87f59f8827bd7c598af308af",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Explicit: official US delegation will not attend; separate subnational delegation noted."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:sonnet-guardian",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "no official US government presence at the annual climate summit",
    "source_url": "https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/nov/09/cop31-climate-democrats-midterms",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:45.961Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "a664131a93488354eb6afd4d347d8f884c576ea4a6881af26831a9db5398e656",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "No official US government presence; White House confirmed no one sent."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:sonnet-spectrum",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the United States has not sent a delegation",
    "source_url": "https://spectrumlocalnews.com/us/snplus/environment/2026/11/09/cop31-us-won-t-attend",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:46.167Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "ad18fd78098e100e8f39db2f69819febe28aa30f1a2da9334fd084163391e00c",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "US has not sent a delegation; White House official comment; wording lacks word official but context is federal government."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:opus-nbc",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "will not send an official delegation",
    "source_url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/cop31-turkey-climate-change-un-summit-cfr-global-warming-rcna608276",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:45.631Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "f496049dd987935914328477cd9b7973a84ffb4c52764bd6c68445ab3fad1645",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "States the United States will not send an official delegation; Congress members and businesses still attend."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:opus-abc",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "an official Trump administration delegation will not be present",
    "source_url": "https://abcnews.com/US/cop31-international-climate-conference-begins-monday/story?id=137885179",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:45.792Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "9abc5f78082456f698d66a4147006159003f2e9a87f59f8827bd7c598af308af",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Also says federal U.S. representation will be absent; the 'U.S. delegation of more than 100 leaders' is subnational, not official."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:opus-guardian",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "there will be no official US government presence at the annual climate summit",
    "source_url": "https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/nov/09/cop31-climate-democrats-midterms",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:45.961Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "a664131a93488354eb6afd4d347d8f884c576ea4a6881af26831a9db5398e656",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "White House official confirmed the administration would not send anyone to Cop31."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-meta-latest-5-record-model:opus-spectrum",
    "record_ref": "meta#latest-5",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the United States has not sent a delegation",
    "source_url": "https://spectrumlocalnews.com/us/snplus/environment/2026/11/09/cop31-us-won-t-attend",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T18:12:46.167Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "ad18fd78098e100e8f39db2f69819febe28aa30f1a2da9334fd084163391e00c",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Headline: 'no U.S. delegation again'; the state/local coalition delegation is separate."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-g77-china-finance-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-g77-china-finance",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "G77 and China on \"Money for poorer countries\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: G77 and China say the quality of climate finance matters, not only the amount, and want the goal to triple adaptation finance put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: quality, not just quantity, of finance a core expectation; operationalise the goal to triple adaptation finance. Record quote: \"addressing the quality, not just the quantity, of finance is a core expectation, including through operationalizing the goal to triple adaptation finance\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "addressing the quality, not just the quantity, of finance is a core expectation",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-g77-china-adaptation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-g77-china-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "G77 and China on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: G77 and China want the goal to triple adaptation finance put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: operationalise the goal to triple adaptation finance. Record quote: \"addressing the quality, not just the quantity, of finance is a core expectation, including through operationalizing the goal to triple adaptation finance\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "operationalizing the goal to triple adaptation finance",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-g77-china-just-transition-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-g77-china-just-transition",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "G77 and China on \"Fairness for workers and communities\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: G77 and China want the just transition work programme put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: need to operationalise the just transition work programme. Record quote: \"the need to operationalize the just transition work programme\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the need to operationalize the just transition work programme",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-eu-mitigation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-eu-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "European Union on \"Cutting emissions\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The EU welcomed plans for a decision that tackles overshoot of 1.5°C and cuts methane. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: welcomed a decision addressing 1.5°C overshoot and methane cuts. Record quote: \"welcomed plans to deliver a decision that will address 1.5°C overshoot, support clean electrification, cut methane emissions, and carry forward progress from existing roadmaps and Action Agendas\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "welcomed plans to deliver a decision that will address 1.5°C overshoot, support clean electrification, cut methane emissions",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-eu-electrification-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-eu-electrification",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "European Union on \"The electrification pledge\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The EU welcomed plans for a decision that supports clean electrification. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: welcomed a decision supporting clean electrification. Record quote: \"welcomed plans to deliver a decision that will address 1.5°C overshoot, support clean electrification, cut methane emissions, and carry forward progress from existing roadmaps and Action Agendas\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "support clean electrification, cut methane emissions",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-umbrella-group-mitigation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-umbrella-group-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Umbrella Group on \"Cutting emissions\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The Umbrella Group wants an ambitious result from the mitigation work programme. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: agree on ambitious outcomes for the mitigation work programme. Record quote: \"agree on ambitious outcomes for the mitigation work programme (MWP)\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "agree on ambitious outcomes for the mitigation work programme (MWP)",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-lmdc-adaptation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-lmdc-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LMDC on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The LMDC group regretted that an agenda item on tripling adaptation finance was rejected. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: lamented rejection of the agenda item on tripling adaptation finance. Record quote: \"lamented the rejection of the agenda item on tripling adaptation finance\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "lamented the rejection of the agenda item on tripling adaptation finance",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-lmdc-mitigation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-lmdc-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LMDC on \"Cutting emissions\": stance SPLIT (conditional, or shifts responsibility to others). Plain paraphrase: The LMDC group says deep cuts must come from developed countries, because of their historical responsibility. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: deep mitigation by developed countries required in line with historical responsibility; frames overshoot action as differentiated. Record quote: \"to address overshoot, deep mitigation action by developed countries is required in line with their historical responsibility\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "deep mitigation action by developed countries is required in line with their historical responsibility",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-aosis-mitigation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-aosis-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "AOSIS on \"Cutting emissions\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: Small island states called for urgent delivery of the emissions-cutting commitments already made. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: urgent implementation of mitigation commitments. Record quote: \"called for urgent implementation of mitigation commitments\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "called for urgent implementation of mitigation commitments",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-aosis-finance-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-aosis-finance",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "AOSIS on \"Money for poorer countries\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: Small island states said climate finance is essential for acting on climate change. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: climate finance indispensable for implementation. Record quote: \"climate finance is indispensable for implementation of climate action\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "climate finance is indispensable for implementation of climate action",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-ldcs-finance-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-ldcs-finance",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LDCs on \"Money for poorer countries\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The least developed countries want easier access to climate finance. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: greater access to climate finance. Record quote: \"underscored the need for greater access to climate finance, tripling adaptation finance, advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "underscored the need for greater access to climate finance, tripling adaptation finance",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-ldcs-adaptation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-ldcs-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LDCs on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The least developed countries want adaptation finance tripled and progress on the global adaptation goal. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: tripling adaptation finance; advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation. Record quote: \"underscored the need for greater access to climate finance, tripling adaptation finance, advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "tripling adaptation finance, advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-ldcs-just-transition-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-ldcs-just-transition",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LDCs on \"Fairness for workers and communities\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The least developed countries want the just transition mechanism put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: operationalising the just transition mechanism. Record quote: \"operationalizing the just transition mechanism\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "operationalizing the just transition mechanism",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-arab-group-fossil-roadmap-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-arab-group-fossil-roadmap",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Arab Group on \"Getting off coal, oil and gas\": stance DOWN (opposes it or seeks to exclude it). Plain paraphrase: The Arab Group opposed any mention of the COP 30 Presidency's roadmaps in a decision. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: opposed references to the COP 30 Presidency roadmaps and the Action Agenda in any decision. The Presidency roadmaps cover fossil fuels and deforestation (ENB, same report). Record quote: \"opposed references to the COP 30 Presidency’s roadmaps and the Action Agenda in any decision\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "opposed references to the COP 30 Presidency’s roadmaps and the Action Agenda in any decision",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-african-group-adaptation-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-african-group-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "African Group on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The African Group wants a starting point (baseline) set so that tripling adaptation finance by 2035 can be measured. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: baseline to measure the target of tripling adaptation finance by 2035. Record quote: \"called for a baseline against which to measure the target of tripling adaptation finance by 2035\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "called for a baseline against which to measure the target of tripling adaptation finance by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to bloc; paraphrase and label supported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-g77-china-finance-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-g77-china-finance",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "G77 and China on \"Money for poorer countries\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: G77 and China say the quality of climate finance matters, not only the amount, and want the goal to triple adaptation finance put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: quality, not just quantity, of finance a core expectation; operationalise the goal to triple adaptation finance. Record quote: \"addressing the quality, not just the quantity, of finance is a core expectation, including through operationalizing the goal to triple adaptation finance\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "addressing the quality, not just the quantity, of finance is a core expectation",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "G-77/China opening statement; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-g77-china-adaptation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-g77-china-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "G77 and China on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: G77 and China want the goal to triple adaptation finance put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: operationalise the goal to triple adaptation finance. Record quote: \"addressing the quality, not just the quantity, of finance is a core expectation, including through operationalizing the goal to triple adaptation finance\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "including through operationalizing the goal to triple adaptation finance",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "G-77/China; tripling adaptation finance fits adaptation topic."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-g77-china-just-transition-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-g77-china-just-transition",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "G77 and China on \"Fairness for workers and communities\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: G77 and China want the just transition work programme put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: need to operationalise the just transition work programme. Record quote: \"the need to operationalize the just transition work programme\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the need to operationalize the just transition work programme",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "G-77/China; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-eu-mitigation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-eu-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "European Union on \"Cutting emissions\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The EU welcomed plans for a decision that tackles overshoot of 1.5°C and cuts methane. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: welcomed a decision addressing 1.5°C overshoot and methane cuts. Record quote: \"welcomed plans to deliver a decision that will address 1.5°C overshoot, support clean electrification, cut methane emissions, and carry forward progress from existing roadmaps and Action Agendas\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "address 1.5°C overshoot, support clean electrification, cut methane emissions",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "EU opening; overshoot and methane cuts."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-eu-electrification-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-eu-electrification",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "European Union on \"The electrification pledge\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The EU welcomed plans for a decision that supports clean electrification. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: welcomed a decision supporting clean electrification. Record quote: \"welcomed plans to deliver a decision that will address 1.5°C overshoot, support clean electrification, cut methane emissions, and carry forward progress from existing roadmaps and Action Agendas\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "support clean electrification",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "EU opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-umbrella-group-mitigation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-umbrella-group-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Umbrella Group on \"Cutting emissions\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The Umbrella Group wants an ambitious result from the mitigation work programme. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: agree on ambitious outcomes for the mitigation work programme. Record quote: \"agree on ambitious outcomes for the mitigation work programme (MWP)\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "agree on ambitious outcomes for the mitigation work programme (MWP)",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Umbrella Group opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-lmdc-adaptation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-lmdc-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LMDC on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The LMDC group regretted that an agenda item on tripling adaptation finance was rejected. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: lamented rejection of the agenda item on tripling adaptation finance. Record quote: \"lamented the rejection of the agenda item on tripling adaptation finance\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "lamented the rejection of the agenda item on tripling adaptation finance",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "LMDCs opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-lmdc-mitigation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-lmdc-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LMDC on \"Cutting emissions\": stance SPLIT (conditional, or shifts responsibility to others). Plain paraphrase: The LMDC group says deep cuts must come from developed countries, because of their historical responsibility. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: deep mitigation by developed countries required in line with historical responsibility; frames overshoot action as differentiated. Record quote: \"to address overshoot, deep mitigation action by developed countries is required in line with their historical responsibility\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "deep mitigation action by developed countries is required in line with their historical responsibility",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "LMDCs; shifts responsibility to developed countries = SPLIT."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-aosis-mitigation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-aosis-mitigation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "AOSIS on \"Cutting emissions\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: Small island states called for urgent delivery of the emissions-cutting commitments already made. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: urgent implementation of mitigation commitments. Record quote: \"called for urgent implementation of mitigation commitments\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "called for urgent implementation of mitigation commitments",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "AOSIS opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-aosis-finance-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-aosis-finance",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "AOSIS on \"Money for poorer countries\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: Small island states said climate finance is essential for acting on climate change. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: climate finance indispensable for implementation. Record quote: \"climate finance is indispensable for implementation of climate action\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "climate finance is indispensable for implementation of climate action",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "AOSIS opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-ldcs-finance-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-ldcs-finance",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LDCs on \"Money for poorer countries\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The least developed countries want easier access to climate finance. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: greater access to climate finance. Record quote: \"underscored the need for greater access to climate finance, tripling adaptation finance, advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "underscored the need for greater access to climate finance",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "LDCs opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-ldcs-adaptation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-ldcs-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LDCs on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The least developed countries want adaptation finance tripled and progress on the global adaptation goal. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: tripling adaptation finance; advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation. Record quote: \"underscored the need for greater access to climate finance, tripling adaptation finance, advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "tripling adaptation finance, advancing the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "LDCs opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-ldcs-just-transition-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-ldcs-just-transition",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "LDCs on \"Fairness for workers and communities\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The least developed countries want the just transition mechanism put into practice. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: operationalising the just transition mechanism. Record quote: \"operationalizing the just transition mechanism\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "operationalizing the just transition mechanism",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "LDCs opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-arab-group-fossil-roadmap-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-arab-group-fossil-roadmap",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "Arab Group on \"Getting off coal, oil and gas\": stance DOWN (opposes it or seeks to exclude it). Plain paraphrase: The Arab Group opposed any mention of the COP 30 Presidency's roadmaps in a decision. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: opposed references to the COP 30 Presidency roadmaps and the Action Agenda in any decision. The Presidency roadmaps cover fossil fuels and deforestation (ENB, same report). Record quote: \"opposed references to the COP 30 Presidency’s roadmaps and the Action Agenda in any decision\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "opposed references to the COP 30 Presidency’s roadmaps and the Action Agenda in any decision",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Arab Group; text identifies the COP 30 Presidency roadmaps as including the one on transitioning away from fossil fuels; DOWN fits."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-african-group-adaptation-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-african-group-adaptation",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "African Group on \"Coping with impacts\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The African Group wants a starting point (baseline) set so that tripling adaptation finance by 2035 can be measured. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: baseline to measure the target of tripling adaptation finance by 2035. Record quote: \"called for a baseline against which to measure the target of tripling adaptation finance by 2035\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "called for a baseline against which to measure the target of tripling adaptation finance by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "African Group opening; matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-african-group-just-transition-record-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-african-group-just-transition",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "African Group on \"Fairness for workers and communities\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The African Group stressed the need for a just transition, and for adequate financing. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: need for a just transition and adequate financing. ENB lists the two together without tying the financing to the just transition. Record quote: \"emphasized the need for a just transition and adequate financing\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "emphasized the need for a just transition and adequate financing",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote verbatim, attributed to AFRICAN GROUP in opening statements. Paraphrase and note do not overreach (text lists the two without linking them). UP fits: pushes for just transition and adequate financing."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-positions-pos-african-group-just-transition-record-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "positions#pos-african-group-just-transition",
    "claim_id": "record",
    "claim": "African Group on \"Fairness for workers and communities\": stance UP (pushes for stronger or more specific action, or more support, on this topic). Plain paraphrase: The African Group stressed the need for a just transition, and for adequate financing. Expert note: Opening statement, 9 Nov: need for a just transition and adequate financing. ENB lists the two together without tying the financing to the just transition. Record quote: \"emphasized the need for a just transition and adequate financing\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "emphasized the need for a just transition and adequate financing",
    "source_url": "https://enb.iisd.org/antalya-un-climate-change-conference-cop31",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "2fee01e3edd37f143282a6b91ced79e76156ca834c46bcff415c1fc3ac3d0d6e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Quote appears verbatim in the AFRICAN GROUP opening statement (Monday 9 Nov). The paraphrase and note match the text, and the note correctly says the financing is not explicitly tied to the just transition. Stance UP fits because the group emphasized the need for a just transition."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-finance-baseline_belem-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#finance",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Money for poorer countries\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Launched a two-year work programme on finance and “took note” of the Baku to Belém roadmap on reaching $1.3tn by 2035.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the mutirão text contains the compromise of a two-year programme covering all of Article 9 … the mutirão package only “takes note” of the roadmap … with the aim of mobilising up to $1.3tn by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Work programme, takes note, $1.3tn by 2035 all stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-adaptation-baseline_belem-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#adaptation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Coping with impacts\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Adopted 59 indicators. “Called for efforts” to triple adaptation finance by 2035, with no baseline year.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "The final GGA text retained the adoption of the 59 indicators … “calling for” a tripling of adaptation finance, but with no clear baseline year and a target date of 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-mitigation-baseline_belem-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#mitigation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Cutting emissions\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Called on countries to accelerate full implementation of their climate pledges and to “strive to do better”. The decision does not mention fossil fuels.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "“accelerat[e] the full implementation” of their climate pledges and to “striv[e] to do better” … The decision does not mention fossil fuels",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Both stated."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-just-transition-baseline_belem-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#just-transition",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Fairness for workers and communities\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Agreed to create a just transition mechanism.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "negotiations were able to converge on the idea of establishing a just transition “mechanism”",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Also: creation of an institutional mechanism around just transition adopted."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-fossil-roadmap-baseline_belem-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#fossil-roadmap",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Getting off coal, oil and gas\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Roadmap left out of the final text. Brazil promised its own, to present here.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "It also contained no fossil-fuel roadmap … the COP30 presidency would bring forward two roadmaps, on transitioning away from fossil fuels and deforestation, to present at the next COP",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "\"here\" read as the next COP."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-finance-baseline_paris-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#finance",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Money for poorer countries\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"Developed country Parties shall provide financial resources to assist developing country Parties with both mitigation and adaptation (Article 9, paragraph 1).\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Article 9 1. Developed country Parties shall provide financial resources to assist developing country Parties with respect to both mitigation and adaptation",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Art 9(1) matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-adaptation-baseline_paris-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#adaptation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Coping with impacts\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"Established a global goal on adaptation: enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability (Article 7, paragraph 1).\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Article 7 1. Parties hereby establish the global goal on adaptation of enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability to climate change",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Art 7(1) matches."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-mitigation-baseline_paris-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#mitigation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Cutting emissions\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"Every country sets its own target and raises it every five years.\" (Source text is the English Paris Agreement as printed in the EU Official Journal.)",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Each Party shall communicate a nationally determined contribution every five years … Each Party shall prepare, communicate and maintain successive nationally determined contributions",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Art 4.2, 4.3, 4.9."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-just-transition-baseline_paris-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "tracks#just-transition",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Fairness for workers and communities\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"One line in the preamble.\" (Source text is the English Paris Agreement as printed in the EU Official Journal.)",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "TAKING INTO ACCOUNT the imperatives of a just transition of the workforce",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Single preambular mention of just transition."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-finance-baseline_belem-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#finance",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Money for poorer countries\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Launched a two-year work programme on finance and “took note” of the Baku to Belém roadmap on reaching $1.3tn by 2035.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the mutirão text contains the compromise of a two-year programme covering all of Article 9 … launching a climate finance “work programme” … the mutirão package only “takes note” of the roadmap … Baku to Belém Roadmap agreed upon at COP29 with the aim of mobilising up to $1.3tn by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Two-year finance work programme launched; roadmap only 'takes note'; $1.3tn by 2035"
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-adaptation-baseline_belem-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#adaptation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Coping with impacts\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Adopted 59 indicators. “Called for efforts” to triple adaptation finance by 2035, with no baseline year.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "retained the adoption of the 59 indicators … with no clear baseline year and a target date of 2035 … “call[ed] for efforts” to triple adaptation finance",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "59 indicators adopted; 'call[ed] for efforts' to triple adaptation finance; no clear baseline year; target date 2035."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-mitigation-baseline_belem-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#mitigation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Cutting emissions\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Called on countries to accelerate full implementation of their climate pledges and to “strive to do better”. The decision does not mention fossil fuels.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "It also “calls on” countries to “accelerat[e] the full implementation” of their climate pledges and to “striv[e] to do better” … The decision does not mention fossil fuels",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Mutirão decision wording and no fossil fuel mention both stated"
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-just-transition-baseline_belem-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#just-transition",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Fairness for workers and communities\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Agreed to create a just transition mechanism.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "negotiations were able to converge on the idea of establishing a just transition “mechanism”, as set out in the final text … the creation of an institutional mechanism around just transition saw the adoption of this text",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "JTWP outcome establishes a just transition mechanism"
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-fossil-roadmap-baseline_belem-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#fossil-roadmap",
    "claim_id": "baseline_belem",
    "claim": "Topic \"Getting off coal, oil and gas\", Belem (COP30, 2025) baseline: \"Roadmap left out of the final text. Brazil promised its own, to present here.\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "It also contained no fossil-fuel roadmap. … the COP30 presidency would bring forward two roadmaps, on transitioning away from fossil fuels and deforestation, to present at the next COP",
    "source_url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "7d80cdd76c37306694736f28b92a84ecbb2e80f61bd3c84d85322ce3dfeae20a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Brazil' means the Brazilian COP30 presidency. 'Here' is read as the next COP."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-finance-baseline_paris-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#finance",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Money for poorer countries\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"Developed country Parties shall provide financial resources to assist developing country Parties with both mitigation and adaptation (Article 9, paragraph 1).\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Article 9 1. Developed country Parties shall provide financial resources to assist developing country Parties with respect to both mitigation and adaptation",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Art. 9(1) states this; 'with both' is a faithful condensation of 'with respect to both'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-adaptation-baseline_paris-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#adaptation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Coping with impacts\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"Established a global goal on adaptation: enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability (Article 7, paragraph 1).\"",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Article 7 1. Parties hereby establish the global goal on adaptation of enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability to climate change",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Art. 7(1) establishes the global goal on adaptation with exactly these three elements."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-mitigation-baseline_paris-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#mitigation",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Cutting emissions\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"Every country sets its own target and raises it every five years.\" (Source text is the English Paris Agreement as printed in the EU Official Journal.)",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Each Party shall communicate a nationally determined contribution every five years … Each Party's successive nationally determined contribution will represent a progression beyond the Party's then current nationally determined contribution",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Nationally determined contributions are sent every five years, and each one must go beyond the last."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-tracks-just-transition-baseline_paris-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "tracks#just-transition",
    "claim_id": "baseline_paris",
    "claim": "Topic \"Fairness for workers and communities\", Paris Agreement (2015) baseline: \"One line in the preamble.\" (Source text is the English Paris Agreement as printed in the EU Official Journal.)",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "TAKING INTO ACCOUNT the imperatives of a just transition of the workforce",
    "source_url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:22016A1019(01)",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T12:30:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "85c6081d2256ae7ba430a452dcc0e77115953a879861da41d38dda7d145755a6",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'Just transition' appears once, and only in the preamble."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-finance-annual-paris-2015-value-owner",
    "record_ref": "metrics#finance-annual@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Money promised to developing countries (Paris 2015): \"$100bn a year\". Method note on record: WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces",
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "owner",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Owner attestation: read the WRI page."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-finance-annual-belem-2025-value-owner",
    "record_ref": "metrics#finance-annual@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Money promised to developing countries (Belém 2025): \"$300bn a year by 2035\". Method note on record: WRI: leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035, with efforts to reach $1.3 trillion.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "owner",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Owner attestation: read the WRI page."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-finance-floor-paris-2015-value-owner",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-finance-floor@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Climate finance: previous goal (Paris 2015): \"$100bn\". Method note on record: WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces",
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "owner",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Owner attestation: read the WRI page."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-finance-annual-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#finance-annual@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Money promised to developing countries (Belém 2025): \"$300bn a year by 2035\". Method note on record: WRI: leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035, with efforts to reach $1.3 trillion.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035",
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text says goal set 'last year' (Baku); Belem 2025 read as snapshot label. 'a year' supported by 'annually'."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-finance-annual-paris-2015-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#finance-annual@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Money promised to developing countries (Paris 2015): \"$100bn a year\". Method note on record: WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces.",
    "verdict": "unsupported",
    "quote": null,
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text gives the $100 billion annual previous goal replaced by NCQG, but never ties it to Paris or 2015 (nor says 'promised'); the Paris/2015 placement is unsupported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-finance-floor-paris-2015-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-finance-floor@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Climate finance: previous goal (Paris 2015): \"$100bn\". Method note on record: WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces.",
    "verdict": "unsupported",
    "quote": null,
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text gives the $100 billion annual previous goal replaced by NCQG, but never ties it to Paris or 2015 (nor says 'promised'); the Paris/2015 placement is unsupported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-finance-goal-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-finance-goal@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Climate finance: goal for 2035 (Belém 2025): \"$300bn\". Method note on record: UNCTAD: developed countries to take the lead in mobilizing at least $300 billion per year for developing countries, by 2035.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "take the lead in mobilizing at least $300 billion per year for developing countries",
    "source_url": "https://unctad.org/news/countries-agree-300-billion-2035-new-climate-finance-goal-what-next",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "afac8f1216ae9118be8e665e4b1c6ea1633d3515007899c43646bc8f4a451407",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Matches; 'by 2035' is in title and the wider-goal sentence."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-fossil-fuels-in-text-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#fossil-fuels-in-text@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Fossil fuels named in the agreed text (Belém 2025): \"“Transitioning away” called for in the COP28 decision. Roadmap left out in Belém\". Method note on record: UN News on the COP30 outcome: the adopted text refers only to the UAE Consensus, the COP28 decision calling for transitioning away from fossil fuels. A roadmap in the draft text was dropped in the final hours.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "the COP28 decision calling for",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166433",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "52a2e00fd3a924a617b3f3e232a19d588e4da4fc11e360fb28cca1e6cca2fd8e",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Adopted text refers only to UAE Consensus; draft roadmap dropped in final hours."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-finance-annual-paris-2015-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#finance-annual@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Money promised to developing countries (Paris 2015): \"$100bn a year\". Method note on record: WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces.",
    "verdict": "unsupported",
    "quote": null,
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text supports '$100 billion annually' as the previous goal the NCQG replaces, but never ties it to Paris 2015 (no date/place given); Paris placement unsupported."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-finance-annual-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#finance-annual@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Money promised to developing countries (Belém 2025): \"$300bn a year by 2035\". Method note on record: WRI: leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035, with efforts to reach $1.3 trillion.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "Leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035, with efforts to reach $1.3 trillion.",
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Method note verbatim from text. Goal was agreed in Baku the year before; text presents it as the operative goal going into COP30 in Belém."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-finance-floor-paris-2015-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-finance-floor@paris-2015",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Climate finance: previous goal (Paris 2015): \"$100bn\". Method note on record: WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces.",
    "verdict": "unsupported",
    "quote": null,
    "source_url": "https://www.wri.org/insights/ncqg-climate-finance-goals-explained",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "8c38aef1c6ca780f983c814f63802332ee687dd4e1c449b9624faa39b5504f9a",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "'$100 billion annually ... previous climate finance goal ... which the NCQG replaces' is supported, but text does not link it to Paris 2015."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-tile-finance-goal-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#tile-finance-goal@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Climate finance: goal for 2035 (Belém 2025): \"$300bn\". Method note on record: UNCTAD: developed countries to take the lead in mobilizing at least $300 billion per year for developing countries, by 2035.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "take the lead in mobilizing at least $300 billion per year for developing countries … Countries agree $300 billion by 2035 for new climate finance goal",
    "source_url": "https://unctad.org/news/countries-agree-300-billion-2035-new-climate-finance-goal-what-next",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "afac8f1216ae9118be8e665e4b1c6ea1633d3515007899c43646bc8f4a451407",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Text: agreed at COP29; Baku-to-Belém roadmap runs through 2025 to COP30. Belém label is record context, not a claim of agreement at Belém."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-fossil-fuels-in-text-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#fossil-fuels-in-text@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Fossil fuels named in the agreed text (Belém 2025): \"“Transitioning away” called for in the COP28 decision. Roadmap left out in Belém\". Method note on record: UN News on the COP30 outcome: the adopted text refers only to the UAE Consensus, the COP28 decision calling for transitioning away from fossil fuels. A roadmap in the draft text was dropped in the final hours.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "A draft text had included it – until the final hours of talks. The adopted outcome refers only to the ‘UAE Consensus’, the COP28 decision calling for “ transitioning away from fossil fuels .",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166433",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "52a2e00fd3a924a617b3f3e232a19d588e4da4fc11e360fb28cca1e6cca2fd8e",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Adopted outcome refers only to UAE Consensus (COP28, transitioning away); draft roadmap dropped in final hours."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-human-induced-belem-2025-value-model:sonnet",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-human-induced@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Human-caused warming by 2024 (column Belém 2025): \"1.36°C\". Method note on record: Forster et al. (2025), Earth System Science Data: human-caused warming is estimated at 1.36 °C in 2024.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "best estimate of human-caused warming (1.36 °C)",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.5194%2Fessd-17-2641-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:58.433Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0876ee54647a738cf07b170d7fc5d63c8bef50254d45e3d616b84fe038f143f5",
    "verifier": "model:sonnet",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
      {
        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Abstract gives 1.36 C as best estimate of human-caused warming in the sentence about the 2024-observed temperature (1.52 C); matches value, year and quantity."
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "id": "vl-metrics-warming-human-induced-belem-2025-value-model:opus",
    "record_ref": "metrics#warming-human-induced@belem-2025",
    "claim_id": "value",
    "claim": "Human-caused warming by 2024 (column Belém 2025): \"1.36°C\". Method note on record: Forster et al. (2025), Earth System Science Data: human-caused warming is estimated at 1.36 °C in 2024.",
    "verdict": "verified",
    "quote": "The 2024-observed best estimate of global surface temperature (1.52 °C) is well above the best estimate of human-caused warming (1.36 °C).",
    "source_url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.5194%2Fessd-17-2641-2025",
    "fetched_at": "2026-11-10T17:46:58.433Z",
    "snapshot_sha256": "0876ee54647a738cf07b170d7fc5d63c8bef50254d45e3d616b84fe038f143f5",
    "verifier": "model:opus",
    "rule_id": "figure-quote-v1",
    "checks": [
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        "name": "quote-in-snapshot",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "verbatim match"
      },
      {
        "name": "numbers-in-quote",
        "result": "pass",
        "detail": "every number in the claim appears in the quote"
      },
      {
        "name": "verifier-notes",
        "result": "n/a",
        "detail": "Abstract gives human-caused warming best estimate 1.36 °C, set against the 2024 observed value; the sentence implies the year is 2024 rather than stating it. Not to be confused with 1.22 °C (2015-2024 decade average human-induced)."
      }
    ]
  }
]