[
  {
    "id": "finance",
    "order": 1,
    "plain_name": "Money for poorer countries",
    "official_name": "Climate finance (Paris Agreement, Article 9)",
    "plain": "Richer countries agreed to help pay for poorer countries to cut emissions and cope with impacts. The argument is how much, from whom, and whether it comes as grants or as loans.",
    "expert": "Implementation of the NCQG (at least $300bn a year by 2035, developed countries taking the lead) and the two-year work programme on Article 9 launched in Belém. Fault lines: public against mobilised finance, concessionality, and the contributor base. India wants a decision here to start the work programme and frames finance as an Article 9.1 obligation.",
    "paris_baseline": "Developed country Parties shall provide financial resources to assist developing country Parties with both mitigation and adaptation (Article 9, paragraph 1).",
    "paris_source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
    "belem_baseline": "Launched a two-year work programme on finance and “took note” of the Baku to Belém roadmap on reaching $1.3tn by 2035.",
    "belem_source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
    "progress_test": "a clear scope and timetable for the work programme.",
    "regression_test": "a procedural fight that stops it starting.",
    "status": "none",
    "bracket_count": null,
    "bracket_delta": null,
    "bracket_label": "No draft yet",
    "latest_draft_id": null,
    "full_text_links": [
      {
        "label": "Paris Agreement, Article 9",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf"
      },
      {
        "label": "What Belém agreed",
        "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem"
      },
      {
        "label": "COP31 documents",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/event/cop-31",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31"
      }
    ],
    "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
    "accessed": null,
    "verified": false,
    "basis": "none",
    "status_detail": null
  },
  {
    "id": "adaptation",
    "order": 2,
    "plain_name": "Coping with impacts",
    "official_name": "Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA)",
    "plain": "Adaptation means preparing for the heat, floods and droughts already on the way. Countries agreed a shared goal in 2015 and are still deciding how to measure it and who pays.",
    "expert": "Operationalising the UAE Framework through the 59 Belém indicators, cut from about 100 and adopted over objections, now being refined under the two-year Belém–Addis vision. Open: means-of-implementation indicators and a baseline year for tripling adaptation finance by 2035.",
    "paris_baseline": "Established a global goal on adaptation: enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability (Article 7, paragraph 1).",
    "paris_source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
    "belem_baseline": "Adopted 59 indicators. “Called for efforts” to triple adaptation finance by 2035, with no baseline year.",
    "belem_source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
    "progress_test": "a baseline year for the tripling.",
    "regression_test": "reopening the 59 indicators.",
    "status": "none",
    "bracket_count": null,
    "bracket_delta": null,
    "bracket_label": "No draft yet",
    "latest_draft_id": null,
    "full_text_links": [
      {
        "label": "Paris Agreement, Article 7",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf"
      },
      {
        "label": "What Belém agreed",
        "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem"
      },
      {
        "label": "COP31 documents",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/event/cop-31",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31"
      }
    ],
    "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
    "accessed": null,
    "verified": false,
    "basis": "none",
    "status_detail": null
  },
  {
    "id": "mitigation",
    "order": 3,
    "plain_name": "Cutting emissions",
    "official_name": "Mitigation and national plans (NDCs)",
    "plain": "Each country writes its own emissions plan, called an NDC, and is meant to strengthen it every five years. Added together, the plans fall far short.",
    "expert": "Response to the NDC synthesis and the gap: full implementation cuts emissions 11–15% by 2035 against 45% in UNEP’s lowest-overshoot pathway. Vehicles: the mitigation work programme, the Global Implementation Accelerator and the Belém Mission to 1.5. India and others want the process party-driven and non-punitive, with no top-down targets.",
    "paris_baseline": "Every country sets its own target and raises it every five years.",
    "paris_source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
    "belem_baseline": "Called on countries to accelerate full implementation of their climate pledges and to “strive to do better”. The decision does not mention fossil fuels.",
    "belem_source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
    "progress_test": "a negotiated decision that responds to the gap.",
    "regression_test": "nothing beyond voluntary initiatives.",
    "status": "none",
    "bracket_count": null,
    "bracket_delta": null,
    "bracket_label": "No draft yet",
    "latest_draft_id": null,
    "full_text_links": [
      {
        "label": "Paris Agreement, Article 4",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf"
      },
      {
        "label": "What Belém agreed",
        "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem"
      },
      {
        "label": "COP31 documents",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/event/cop-31",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31"
      }
    ],
    "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
    "accessed": null,
    "verified": false,
    "basis": "none",
    "status_detail": null
  },
  {
    "id": "just-transition",
    "order": 4,
    "plain_name": "Fairness for workers and communities",
    "official_name": "Just transition mechanism",
    "plain": "Moving off coal, oil and gas costs some people their jobs and some countries their income. This track is about support so the change is fair.",
    "expert": "Operationalising the mechanism agreed in Belém under the just transition work programme, which civil society calls the Belém Action Mechanism. Open: its functions, its institutional home, and whether it carries finance. Belém removed all trade references from this decision.",
    "paris_baseline": "One line in the preamble.",
    "paris_source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
    "belem_baseline": "Agreed to create a just transition mechanism.",
    "belem_source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
    "progress_test": "the mechanism gets functions, a home and funding.",
    "regression_test": "it stays a name with no mandate.",
    "status": "none",
    "bracket_count": null,
    "bracket_delta": null,
    "bracket_label": "No draft yet",
    "latest_draft_id": null,
    "full_text_links": [
      {
        "label": "Paris Agreement, preamble",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf"
      },
      {
        "label": "What Belém agreed",
        "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem"
      },
      {
        "label": "COP31 documents",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/event/cop-31",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31"
      }
    ],
    "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
    "accessed": null,
    "verified": false,
    "basis": "none",
    "status_detail": null
  },
  {
    "id": "fossil-roadmap",
    "order": 5,
    "plain_name": "Getting off coal, oil and gas",
    "official_name": "Roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels",
    "plain": "In 2023 countries agreed for the first time to move away from fossil fuels. They have not agreed how, or by when.",
    "expert": "Follow-up to paragraph 28 of the first global stocktake decision. Belém dropped roadmap language from the mutirão. The Brazilian COP30 presidency is producing roadmaps on fossil fuels and deforestation outside the formal process, informed by the Colombia–Netherlands conference of April 2026.",
    "paris_baseline": "Fossil fuels are not named in the Agreement.",
    "paris_source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
    "belem_baseline": "Roadmap left out of the final text. Brazil promised its own, to present here.",
    "belem_source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
    "progress_test": "the roadmap is welcomed in a formal decision.",
    "regression_test": "it is presented and never referenced.",
    "status": "none",
    "bracket_count": null,
    "bracket_delta": null,
    "bracket_label": "No formal text",
    "latest_draft_id": null,
    "full_text_links": [
      {
        "label": "Paris Agreement, full text",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf"
      },
      {
        "label": "What Belém agreed",
        "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem"
      },
      {
        "label": "COP31 documents",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/event/cop-31",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31"
      }
    ],
    "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
    "accessed": null,
    "verified": false,
    "basis": "none",
    "status_detail": null
  },
  {
    "id": "electrification",
    "order": 6,
    "plain_name": "The electrification pledge",
    "official_name": "Action Agenda: 35% electrification by 2035",
    "plain": "The hosts want a global target for running more of the economy on electricity instead of burning fuel. It is a voluntary pledge, so no country can block it and no country is bound by it.",
    "expert": "Presidency-led Action Agenda item from Türkiye and Australia: 35% electrification globally by 2035. It sits outside the negotiated outcome. Analysts are split on whether it speeds renewables or locks in fossil generation.",
    "paris_baseline": "No equivalent.",
    "paris_source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
    "belem_baseline": "No equivalent. New this year.",
    "belem_source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
    "progress_test": "large emitters sign, with a clean-power condition attached.",
    "regression_test": "the pledge crowds out the fossil fuel roadmap.",
    "status": "voluntary",
    "bracket_count": null,
    "bracket_delta": null,
    "bracket_label": "Not negotiated",
    "latest_draft_id": null,
    "full_text_links": [
      {
        "label": "Paris Agreement, full text",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf"
      },
      {
        "label": "What Belém agreed",
        "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/cop30-key-outcomes-agreed-at-the-un-climate-talks-in-belem/",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem"
      },
      {
        "label": "COP31 documents",
        "url": "https://unfccc.int/event/cop-31",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31"
      }
    ],
    "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
    "accessed": null,
    "verified": false,
    "basis": "none",
    "status_detail": null
  }
]