[
  {
    "id": "warming-policies-2100",
    "order": 1,
    "label": "Warming by 2100 if policies stay as they are",
    "chart_label": "Forecast if policies stay as they are",
    "unit": "°C",
    "views": [
      "chart",
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": true,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "Policies adopted since 2015 took about 0.8°C off the forecast. The forecast has stopped improving.",
    "expert": "Median end-of-century estimates under current policies. CAT’s own 2025 figure was 2.6°C; UNEP says warming continues to rise after 2100.",
    "verdict_since_paris": "Progress",
    "verdict_since_belem": "Flat",
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": 3.6,
        "low": 3.6,
        "high": 3.6,
        "display": "3.6°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "cat",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Climate Action Tracker, 2015. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": 2.8,
        "low": 2.8,
        "high": 2.8,
        "display": "Up to 2.8°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2025",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, via the PBL summary: implementing only current policies would lead to up to 2.8°C of warming this century. Source gives an upper figure, not a point estimate; plotted at 2.8.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": 2.8,
        "low": 2.8,
        "high": 2.8,
        "display": "Could reach 2.8°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026, via the PBL summary: if current policies continue, warming could reach 2.8°C within this century and increase thereafter. Source gives a 'could reach' figure; plotted at 2.8.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "numeric-rule"
  },
  {
    "id": "warming-pledges-2100",
    "order": 2,
    "label": "Warming by 2100 if every national pledge is kept",
    "chart_label": "Forecast if every pledge is kept",
    "unit": "°C",
    "views": [
      "chart",
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": true,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "This number went the wrong way this year. UNEP points to the US leaving the Paris Agreement and to revised emissions data.",
    "expert": "Full implementation of conditional and unconditional NDCs. UNEP: new NDCs since 2025 made only a small difference; adding net-zero targets gives 2.1°C.",
    "verdict_since_paris": "Flat",
    "verdict_since_belem": "Regression",
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": 2.7,
        "low": 2.7,
        "high": 2.7,
        "display": "2.7°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "cat",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Climate Action Tracker, 2015. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": 2.4,
        "low": 2.3,
        "high": 2.5,
        "display": "2.3–2.5°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2025",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025, via the PBL summary: 2.3-2.5°C if NDCs are fully implemented. The source gives only the range; the line is plotted at the midpoint 2.4.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": 2.6,
        "low": 2.6,
        "high": 2.6,
        "display": "2.6°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "UNEP, Oct 2026. Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "numeric-rule"
  },
  {
    "id": "warming-measured",
    "order": 4,
    "label": "Measured global temperature",
    "chart_label": "Warming measured so far",
    "unit": "°C",
    "views": [
      "chart",
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "This is the thermometer reading, compared with the late 1800s.",
    "expert": "Annual global mean surface temperature anomaly against 1850–1900. A single year above 1.5°C is not a breach of the Paris long-term goal, which refers to multi-decadal averages.",
    "verdict_since_paris": "Regression",
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": 1,
        "low": 1,
        "high": 1,
        "display": "About 1.0°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unfccc-wmo-2015",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "About 1.0°C in 2015, per the linked UNFCCC news item on the WMO 2015 report. Linked at the site owner's request; the page could not be read automatically.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": 1.55,
        "low": 1.55,
        "high": 1.55,
        "display": "1.55°C, likely the first calendar year above 1.5°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "wmo-2024-press",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "WMO, 2024 consolidated from six international datasets. WMO says 2024 is likely the first calendar year above 1.5°C relative to 1850-1900.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": null,
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "wmo",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Due during COP31 (WMO 2026 update).",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "numeric-rule"
  },
  {
    "id": "one-point-five-goal",
    "order": 3,
    "label": "The 1.5°C goal",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "text",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "“Overshoot” means going past 1.5°C, then pulling the temperature back down later by removing carbon from the air.",
    "expert": "EGR 2026 lowest-overshoot pathway: cuts of 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035 and 69% by 2040 against 2025, about 320 GtCO₂ of removals this century, and a 50% chance of returning to 1.5°C by 2100.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "“Pursue efforts” to stay under 1.5°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Paris Agreement, Article 2.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "First COP text to admit a likely overshoot",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Global mutirão decision.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Overshoot can no longer be avoided. Best case peaks at 1.7–1.8°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "UNEP, Oct 2026.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "emissions-cuts-2035",
    "order": 5,
    "label": "Emissions cuts by 2035: promised against needed",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "text",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "Countries have promised roughly a quarter to a third of the cut the science asks for.",
    "expert": "Full NDC implementation against UNEP’s lowest-overshoot pathway, both relative to 2025 emissions. Implied gap: 30–34 percentage points.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "No 2035 pledges yet",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Source not recorded in the prototype.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "New 2035 pledges arriving",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Source not recorded in the prototype.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Promised 11–15%. Needed 45%",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "UNEP, Oct 2026. Against 2025 emissions.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "finance-annual",
    "order": 6,
    "label": "Money promised to developing countries",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "text",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "The headline number tripled. Whether it arrives as grants or as loans is the fight.",
    "expert": "COP29 set the NCQG at $300bn a year by 2035 with developed countries leading, inside a $1.3tn aspiration from all sources. Belém added a two-year work programme on Article 9.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "$100bn a year",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "wri-ncqg-explained",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces. The page does not say when the goal was set, so the Paris 2015 placement is cited, not verified.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "$300bn a year by 2035",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "wri-ncqg-explained",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "WRI: leaders agreed to mobilize $300 billion for developing countries' climate action by 2035, with efforts to reach $1.3 trillion.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Decided in the finance track",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Outcome pending in the finance track.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "fossil-fuels-in-text",
    "order": 7,
    "label": "Fossil fuels named in the agreed text",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "text",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "It took 28 summits to name coal, oil and gas. A plan for leaving them has been blocked since.",
    "expert": "Paragraph 28 of the first global stocktake decision (COP28) calls for transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems. Roadmap language was dropped from the Belém mutirão.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Not named",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Paris Agreement.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "“Transitioning away” called for in the COP28 decision. Roadmap left out in Belém",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "un-news-cop30-outcome",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "UN News on the COP30 outcome: the adopted text refers only to the UAE Consensus, the COP28 decision calling for transitioning away from fossil fuels. A roadmap in the draft text was dropped in the final hours.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Brazil’s roadmap due to be presented here",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "unfccc-cop31",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Not yet presented.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "clean-energy-buildout",
    "order": 8,
    "label": "Clean energy build-out",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "text",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "The one area that beat every forecast.",
    "expert": "UNEP: renewable electricity capacity has grown three times faster than anticipated at the time of Paris; solar PV seven times faster.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Baseline expectations",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Reference point for the multiples.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Renewables 3× faster than expected. Solar 7×",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "UNEP, Oct 2026.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "who-at-table",
    "order": 9,
    "label": "Who is at the table",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "text",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "The second-largest emitter has left the agreement.",
    "expert": "US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement took effect in January 2026. UNEP cites it as one driver of the worsened NDC-scenario projection.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "Adopted by nearly every country",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "paris-agreement-pdf",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Source not recorded in the prototype.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "US had filed to leave",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "carbon-brief-belem",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Source not recorded in the prototype.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      },
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": "No official US delegation",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "un-news-opening",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Opening day report.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "tile-emissions-promised",
    "order": 10,
    "label": "Emissions cuts by 2035: promised",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "% vs 2025 emissions",
    "views": [
      "tile"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "emissions-cuts-2035",
      "group_title": "Emissions cuts by 2035",
      "label": "Promised",
      "note": "Against 2025 emissions. UNEP, Oct 2026.",
      "order": 1
    },
    "plain": "Full implementation of national pledges cuts emissions 11–15% by 2035.",
    "expert": "Full NDC implementation, relative to 2025 emissions. Reported as a range; value is the midpoint, used for bar length.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": 13,
        "low": 11,
        "high": 15,
        "display": "11–15%",
        "tile_label": "Promised",
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026, via the PBL summary: full NDC implementation amounts to 11-15 percent by 2035 relative to 2025 levels. The source gives only the range; 13 is the midpoint, used for sorting only.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "tile-emissions-needed",
    "order": 11,
    "label": "Emissions cuts by 2035: needed",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "% vs 2025 emissions",
    "views": [
      "tile"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "emissions-cuts-2035",
      "group_title": "Emissions cuts by 2035",
      "label": "Needed",
      "note": "Against 2025 emissions. UNEP, Oct 2026.",
      "order": 2
    },
    "plain": "The science asks for a 45% cut by 2035.",
    "expert": "UNEP lowest-overshoot pathway, relative to 2025 emissions.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": 45,
        "low": 45,
        "high": 45,
        "display": "45%",
        "tile_label": "Needed",
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "tile-finance-floor",
    "order": 12,
    "label": "Climate finance: previous goal",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "USD bn/yr",
    "views": [
      "tile"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "finance-annual",
      "group_title": "Money promised to developing countries, per year",
      "label": "Previous goal",
      "note": "New collective quantified goal (NCQG), agreed at COP29. It replaces the previous $100bn goal.",
      "order": 1
    },
    "plain": "The Paris-era promise: $100bn a year.",
    "expert": "Floor set in the Paris decision.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "paris-2015",
        "value": 100,
        "low": 100,
        "high": 100,
        "display": "$100bn",
        "tile_label": "Paris-era floor",
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "wri-ncqg-explained",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "WRI: the previous climate finance goal of $100 billion annually, which the NCQG replaces. The page does not say when the goal was set, so the Paris 2015 placement is cited, not verified.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "tile-finance-goal",
    "order": 13,
    "label": "Climate finance: goal for 2035",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "USD bn/yr",
    "views": [
      "tile"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "finance-annual",
      "group_title": "Money promised to developing countries, per year",
      "label": "Goal for 2035",
      "note": "New collective quantified goal (NCQG), agreed at COP29. It replaces the previous $100bn goal.",
      "order": 2
    },
    "plain": "The new goal: $300bn a year by 2035.",
    "expert": "NCQG, COP29. Developed countries taking the lead.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": 300,
        "low": 300,
        "high": 300,
        "display": "$300bn",
        "tile_label": "Goal for 2035",
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unctad-ncqg-300bn",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "UNCTAD: developed countries to take the lead in mobilizing at least $300 billion per year for developing countries, by 2035.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "tile-renewables-growth",
    "order": 14,
    "label": "Renewables growth against 2015 expectations",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "x faster than expected",
    "views": [
      "tile"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "clean-energy",
      "group_title": "Clean energy since Paris, against expectations",
      "label": "renewables growth",
      "note": "Grown faster than anticipated at the time of Paris. UNEP, Oct 2026, via PBL.",
      "order": 1
    },
    "plain": "Renewables grew three times faster than anticipated at Paris.",
    "expert": "Renewable electricity capacity growth against 2015-era expectations.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": 3,
        "low": 3,
        "high": 3,
        "display": "3×",
        "tile_label": "renewables growth",
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "tile-solar-buildout",
    "order": 15,
    "label": "Solar build-out against 2015 expectations",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "x faster than expected",
    "views": [
      "tile"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "clean-energy",
      "group_title": "Clean energy since Paris, against expectations",
      "label": "solar build-out",
      "note": "Grown faster than anticipated at the time of Paris. UNEP, Oct 2026, via PBL.",
      "order": 2
    },
    "plain": "Solar grew seven times faster than anticipated at Paris.",
    "expert": "Solar PV growth against 2015-era expectations.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": 7,
        "low": 7,
        "high": 7,
        "display": "7×",
        "tile_label": "solar build-out",
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "unep-egr-2026",
        "published": "2026-10-21",
        "method_note": "Point estimate; no range recorded, so low and high equal the value.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "ledger-announced",
    "order": 17,
    "label": "Leaders’ Summit money: announced",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "USD bn",
    "views": [
      "ledger"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "leaders-summit-ledger",
      "group_title": "Money announced at the Leaders’ Summit",
      "label": "Announced",
      "note": "Headline pledges, split into new money, loans to be repaid, and what was already promised before.",
      "order": 1
    },
    "plain": "Fills from 11 Nov, when the Leaders’ Summit begins.",
    "expert": "Pledges classified as new grants, loans, or previously committed. Classification needs a documented rule before publishing.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": null,
        "tile_label": "Announced",
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "un-news-opening",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Pending: Leaders’ Summit announcements from 11 Nov. Expected sources: UN News, Carbon Brief, presidency statements.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "ledger-new-grants",
    "order": 18,
    "label": "Leaders’ Summit money: new grants",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "USD bn",
    "views": [
      "ledger"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "leaders-summit-ledger",
      "group_title": "Money announced at the Leaders’ Summit",
      "label": "New grants",
      "note": "Headline pledges, split into new money, loans to be repaid, and what was already promised before.",
      "order": 2
    },
    "plain": "Fills from 11 Nov, when the Leaders’ Summit begins.",
    "expert": "Pledges classified as new grants, loans, or previously committed. Classification needs a documented rule before publishing.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": null,
        "tile_label": "New grants",
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "un-news-opening",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Pending: Leaders’ Summit announcements from 11 Nov. Expected sources: UN News, Carbon Brief, presidency statements.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "ledger-loans",
    "order": 19,
    "label": "Leaders’ Summit money: loans",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "USD bn",
    "views": [
      "ledger"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "leaders-summit-ledger",
      "group_title": "Money announced at the Leaders’ Summit",
      "label": "Loans",
      "note": "Headline pledges, split into new money, loans to be repaid, and what was already promised before.",
      "order": 3
    },
    "plain": "Fills from 11 Nov, when the Leaders’ Summit begins.",
    "expert": "Pledges classified as new grants, loans, or previously committed. Classification needs a documented rule before publishing.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": null,
        "tile_label": "Loans",
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "un-news-opening",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Pending: Leaders’ Summit announcements from 11 Nov. Expected sources: UN News, Carbon Brief, presidency statements.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "ledger-already-promised",
    "order": 20,
    "label": "Leaders’ Summit money: already promised",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "USD bn",
    "views": [
      "ledger"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": {
      "group_id": "leaders-summit-ledger",
      "group_title": "Money announced at the Leaders’ Summit",
      "label": "Already promised",
      "note": "Headline pledges, split into new money, loans to be repaid, and what was already promised before.",
      "order": 4
    },
    "plain": "Fills from 11 Nov, when the Leaders’ Summit begins.",
    "expert": "Pledges classified as new grants, loans, or previously committed. Classification needs a documented rule before publishing.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "antalya-2026",
        "value": null,
        "low": null,
        "high": null,
        "display": null,
        "tile_label": "Already promised",
        "status": "pending",
        "source_id": "un-news-opening",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Pending: Leaders’ Summit announcements from 11 Nov. Expected sources: UN News, Carbon Brief, presidency statements.",
        "accessed": null,
        "verified": false
      }
    ],
    "verdict_basis": "none"
  },
  {
    "id": "warming-human-induced",
    "order": 10,
    "label": "Human-caused warming by 2024",
    "chart_label": null,
    "unit": "°C",
    "views": [
      "table"
    ],
    "chart_default_on": false,
    "tile": null,
    "plain": "How much humans had warmed the planet by 2024, measured against 1850-1900.",
    "expert": "Human-induced warming in 2024 from the Indicators of Global Climate Change update (Forster et al., 2025). Not the same as the observed 2024 anomaly, which also includes natural variability.",
    "verdict_since_paris": null,
    "verdict_since_belem": null,
    "verdict_basis": "none",
    "points": [
      {
        "period": "belem-2025",
        "value": 1.36,
        "low": 1.36,
        "high": 1.36,
        "display": "1.36°C",
        "tile_label": null,
        "status": "reported",
        "source_id": "doi-10-5194-essd-17-2641-2025",
        "published": null,
        "method_note": "Forster et al. (2025), Earth System Science Data: human-caused warming is estimated at 1.36 °C in 2024.",
        "accessed": "2026-11-10",
        "verified": true
      }
    ]
  }
]