{ "id": "meta", "title": "COP31 Tracker", "data_version": "0.1.0", "summit": { "name": "COP31", "city": "Antalya", "country": "Türkiye", "start": "2026-11-09", "end": "2026-11-20", "total_days": 12, "timezone": "+03:00" }, "current_day": 2, "last_updated": "2026-11-10T06:40:00+03:00", "last_updated_label": "06:40 TRT, 10 Nov", "status": "live", "periods": [ { "id": "paris-2015", "label": "Paris 2015", "sublabel": "COP21", "start": "2015-11-30" }, { "id": "belem-2025", "label": "Belém 2025", "sublabel": "COP30, last year", "start": "2025-11-10" }, { "id": "antalya-2026", "label": "Antalya 2026", "sublabel": "COP31, now", "start": "2026-11-09" } ], "latest_as_of": "OPENING DAY, 9 NOV", "latest": [ { "id": "latest-1", "text": "Türkiye’s Murat Kurum took over as COP31 President. Australia’s Chris Bowen is running the negotiations.", "source_id": "un-news-opening", "accessed": "2026-11-10", "verified": true }, { "id": "latest-2", "text": "Bowen announced plans to develop a presidency-led decision throughout the conference, rather than waiting until its final days.", "source_id": "un-news-opening", "accessed": "2026-11-10", "verified": true }, { "id": "latest-3", "text": "UN climate chief Simon Stiell: “Progress is nowhere near far enough or fair enough.”", "source_id": "un-news-opening", "accessed": "2026-11-10", "verified": true }, { "id": "latest-4", "text": "Nearly 200 countries have arrived in Antalya for the summit.", "source_id": "un-news-opening", "accessed": "2026-11-10", "verified": true }, { "id": "latest-5", "text": "The United States has not sent an official delegation to COP31.", "source_id": "guardian-us-delegation", "accessed": "2026-11-10", "verified": true } ], "explainer": [ { "id": "what", "heading_plain": "What it is", "heading_expert": "Bodies in session", "plain": "The yearly meeting where nearly every country negotiates what to do about climate change. This is the 31st. The letters stand for Conference of the Parties, and a “party” is a country that signed the UN climate treaty.", "expert": "COP 31 (UNFCCC), CMP 21 (Kyoto Protocol) and CMA 8 (Paris Agreement), with the 65th sessions of the subsidiary bodies, SBSTA and SBI.", "source_id": "unfccc-cop31", "accessed": null, "verified": false }, { "id": "how", "heading_plain": "How decisions get made", "heading_expert": "Decision rule", "plain": "Nothing passes unless every country accepts it. One objection can block a deal, so the wording is fought over line by line for two weeks.", "expert": "Consensus. The draft rules of procedure have been applied without rule 42 on voting since 1995, so there is no fallback vote.", "source_id": "unfccc-cop31", "accessed": null, "verified": false }, { "id": "out", "heading_plain": "What comes out", "heading_expert": "Split presidency", "plain": "Written decisions. They set goals, rules and deadlines for countries. They do not force any country to act, which is why the exact verbs matter so much.", "expert": "Türkiye (Murat Kurum) holds the COP presidency and the voluntary Action Agenda. Australia (Chris Bowen) is President of Negotiations and controls the text process.", "source_id": "unfccc-cop31", "accessed": null, "verified": false } ], "verb_ladder": { "intro": "The first verb tells you how much a line commits anyone. Strongest at the top.", "example": "Real example from Belém: the text “decides” to advance finance toward $1.3tn a year, but only “calls for efforts” to triple adaptation finance. The second promise is much weaker than the first.", "items": [ { "term": "Decides", "rank": 1 }, { "term": "Requests", "rank": 2 }, { "term": "Urges", "rank": 3 }, { "term": "Calls on", "rank": 4 }, { "term": "Invites", "rank": 5 }, { "term": "Encourages", "rank": 6 }, { "term": "Notes", "rank": 7 } ], "source_id": "unfccc-drafting-language", "accessed": null, "verified": false }, "scoreboard": { "intro": "Paris is where the current rules were written. Belém was last year’s summit. Each row shows whether the world moved forward or backward against both.", "chart_caption": "Warming above pre-industrial levels. Forecasts are for the year 2100. Points are placed by date: Paris to Belém is ten years, Belém to Antalya is one.", "sources_note": "Sources: UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026 (21 Oct 2026), Climate Action Tracker, WMO, UNFCCC decisions. Temperature forecasts from different groups use different models, so read the direction, not the decimals.", "source_id": "unep-egr-2026", "accessed": null, "verified": false }, "methods": { "bracket_rule": { "plain": "Square brackets mark words countries have not agreed. We count every opening bracket in the main text, including brackets inside brackets. Headers, footnotes and document codes are skipped.", "expert": "Count every opening square bracket in the body of the draft, nested ones included. Ignore brackets in headers, footnotes and document symbols. Not yet tested on a real draft." }, "status_rules": [ { "status": "moving", "rule": "The bracket count fell by 10% or more since the previous version, or rival options were merged." }, { "status": "stalled", "rule": "No new version in 36 hours, or the count rose, or the Earth Negotiations Bulletin reports consultations broke down (the passage is quoted on the page)." }, { "status": "agreed", "rule": "The text was forwarded with no brackets, or adopted in plenary." }, { "status": "draft-posted", "rule": "An official draft exists, but no status rule can call it yet: it is the first version, the change is small, or the bracket count could not be read. The version, bracket count (or \"count unavailable\"), time posted and link are shown." }, { "status": "none", "rule": "No official draft is posted yet for this topic." }, { "status": "voluntary", "rule": "The item sits outside the negotiated outcome; there is no draft text to count." } ], "source_id": "internal-runbook", "accessed": "2026-11-10", "verified": true, "verification": { "plain": "Nobody signs off on this page by hand. Statuses are worked out by a fixed rule from the draft texts. Numbers and quotes are checked automatically against the source they came from, and the page shows how well each one has been checked.", "expert": "No editorial gate. Status is a pure function of bracket counts and timestamps (rule-computed). Figures and quotes carry a verbatim source quote confirmed by script against a stored snapshot, plus agreement of independent model checks. Disagreement or an unreachable source renders as pending." }, "verdict_rule": { "plain": "A scoreboard row gets a Progress, Flat or Regression mark only when it is a temperature number. We compare the newest value with Paris 2015 and with Belém 2025. A change of 0.2°C or more counts; anything smaller is Flat. Rows without comparable numbers get no mark.", "expert": "Numeric rule on °C series: compare latest value (range midpoint where low and high differ) with the period value; delta <= -0.2 Progress, >= +0.2 Regression, otherwise Flat. Lower is better for warming. No verdict where the series has no comparable numeric points or the later period is pending." }, "how_we_check": { "intro": { "plain": "Every number and quote on this page comes from a named source. Software fetches that source and looks for the exact words. This is what that can and cannot tell you.", "expert": "Verification is mechanical transcription and metadata checking, run by independent automated checkers. It establishes provenance and fidelity, not scientific validity." }, "can_prove": [ "A quoted passage is present, word for word, in a saved copy of the source.", "The number in our record equals the number in that passage.", "A DOI resolves, and the title, authors, journal and year match the record.", "A paper has no retraction or correction notice on Crossref.", "Bracket counts in a draft text, counted by script under the published rule." ], "cannot_prove": [ "Whether the science in a source is right.", "That a plain-language summary captures every subtlety of the original.", "That an authoritative source has not itself made a mistake." ], "stance": "We report what each source says, not that it is right.", "tiers": [ { "tier": "Checked", "meaning": "A verbatim quote was confirmed in the source and two independent checks agreed. The quote shows in the source card." }, { "tier": "Single check", "meaning": "One check passed. Treat as provisional." }, { "tier": "Pending", "meaning": "Nothing has passed yet, the source could not be reached, or the checks disagreed. Shown as pending, never as fact." } ], "corrections": { "text": "Mistakes are corrected in public. Every correction is dated in the changelog with what was wrong and what changed.", "contact": "Corrections: details to be added." } } }, "source_id": "unfccc-cop31", "accessed": null, "verified": false, "site_origin": "https://soca.so" }